Chip wafer shortage to persist until 2030 as AI demand outpaces supply, warns SK Hynix chairman

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SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won warned that the global chip wafer shortage will likely continue until 2030, driven by surging artificial intelligence demand. Speaking at Nvidia's GTC Conference, he revealed SK Hynix expects more than a 20% wafer deficit and announced plans to stabilise DRAM prices while exploring a U.S. ADR listing.

SK Hynix Warns of Prolonged Chip Wafer Shortage Through 2030

SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won delivered a stark warning at Nvidia's GTC Conference in San Jose, California: the global chip wafer shortage until 2030 is likely inevitable. Speaking to reporters on Monday, Chey Tae-won explained that artificial intelligence is driving unprecedented demand that continues to outpace supply and demand dynamics across the semiconductor industry

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. The chip wafer shortage stems from the intensive production requirements for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), a critical component in AI systems that consumes substantial wafer resources during manufacturing

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Surging Demand for High-Bandwidth Memory Drives Wafer Scarcity

"AI actually wants to have a lot of HBM, and once you make the HBM...we have to use a lot of wafers," Chey explained, outlining the fundamental challenge facing the industry. SK Hynix, which serves as Nvidia's main high-bandwidth memory supplier, commands a dominant 57% share of the HBM market and holds a 32% share of the global DRAM market, making it the second-largest player according to Counterpoint. The company needs at least four to five years to build up additional wafer production capacity, with Chey projecting more than a 20% shortage of wafers persisting through the end of the decade

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Source: Market Screener

Source: Market Screener

Plans to Stabilise DRAM Chip Prices and Expand Investor Base

Addressing concerns about memory prices, the SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won indicated that SK Hynix is developing strategies to stabilise DRAM chip prices. "I cannot just announce right here, but I guess that our CEO is going to announce a new plan for how to stabilise the price of the DRAM," he told reporters at the GTC Conference

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. This move comes as the industry grapples with volatile DRAM pricing amid supply constraints. Additionally, SK Hynix is reviewing a potential U.S. ADR listing to broaden its global investor base beyond Korea, increasing exposure to American and international investors while strengthening its global presence. An ADR listing would provide greater access to capital markets and enhance the company's visibility among institutional investors.

Production Challenges and Energy Concerns Shape Strategic Decisions

When questioned about expanding chip manufacturing capacity in the United States, where many of SK Hynix's customers operate, Chey emphasized the complexities involved. Establishing overseas plants requires adequate power, water, construction conditions, and engineering talent—factors that cannot be addressed easily on demand. The company is currently focusing production efforts in Korea

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. Separately, Middle East tensions have created difficulties due to higher energy prices, pushing SK Group to seek alternative energy sources. Market reaction to these announcements was positive, with shares of SK Hynix trading up 2.7% to 3.5% on Tuesday morning in Seoul, outperforming the benchmark KOSPI's rise

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