Nvidia Excludes China from Revenue Forecasts Amid US Export Controls

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

5 Sources

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang announces the company will no longer include China in its revenue and profit forecasts due to ongoing US chip export restrictions, resulting in significant financial impacts and strategic shifts.

Nvidia's Strategic Shift in Response to US Export Controls

Nvidia, the leading AI chip manufacturer, has announced a significant change in its financial strategy in response to ongoing US export restrictions on chip sales to China. CEO Jensen Huang revealed that the company will no longer include China in its revenue or profit forecasts, marking a notable shift in Nvidia's approach to one of its largest markets 1.

Source: Market Screener

Source: Market Screener

Financial Impact and Market Challenges

The decision comes in the wake of substantial financial repercussions for Nvidia. In the first quarter of 2025, the company faced a $2.5 billion revenue shortfall due to the export controls 4. The restrictions, which were introduced by the Trump administration in April, prevented Nvidia from selling its advanced H20 AI chips to China without a special license 1.

Criticism of US Export Controls

Huang has been vocal in his criticism of the US export controls, stating that "the goals of the export controls are not being achieved" 5. He argues that the policies have failed to reach their intended objectives and may have unintended consequences for the global AI landscape 3.

Potential Implications for Global AI Development

Source: Wccftech

Source: Wccftech

The Nvidia CEO has expressed concerns about the long-term implications of these restrictions. He warns that if the US continues to enforce AI semiconductor restrictions on China, it could lead to Huawei leveraging its position in the world's second-largest economy 2. Huang emphasized the importance of global AI developers using the American technology stack rather than China's, cautioning about potential consequences if the US loses a significant portion of the world's AI researchers 2.

Nvidia's Future Plans and Global Expansion

Despite the challenges in the Chinese market, Nvidia is actively pursuing opportunities in other regions. The company recently announced the launch of an AI factory and cloud marketplace in Europe, partnering with major players like BMW and Mercedes 2. Additionally, Nvidia is sponsoring an ambitious UK plan to train 7.5 million workers in AI by 2030 2.

Source: TechCrunch

Source: TechCrunch

Looking Ahead

While Huang maintains that he's "not counting on" the US lifting export controls, he acknowledges that such a change would be "a great bonus" 4. In the meantime, Nvidia is reportedly planning to launch a new artificial intelligence chipset for China at a significantly lower price than its recently restricted H20 model, with mass production expected to start as early as June 5.

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