Nvidia scrambles to meet surging China demand for H200 chips as orders hit 2 million units

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Chinese technology companies have ordered over 2 million H200 chips for 2026, but Nvidia holds only 700,000 units in stock. CEO Jensen Huang confirms demand is "very high" as the company works with TSMC to ramp up production while navigating U.S. export licensing and awaiting Beijing's approval for shipments.

Nvidia Faces Massive H200 Chip Orders From Chinese Technology Companies

Nvidia is confronting an unprecedented supply challenge as Chinese technology companies have placed orders for over 2 million units of its H200 chip for 2026, while the company currently holds just 700,000 units in stock

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. Speaking at CES 2026, CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that Nvidia H200 demand in China is "very high," describing customer interest as exceptionally strong

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. The situation highlights the delicate balance Nvidia must strike between serving this massive market opportunity and managing constrained global AI chip supply.

The bulk of these orders for over 2 million units has come from major Chinese internet companies, which view the H200 as a significant upgrade over chips currently available to them

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. ByteDance alone plans to spend about 100 billion yuan on Nvidia's chips in 2026, up from roughly 85 billion yuan in 2025, if China allows H200 sales

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. Of Nvidia's current 700,000-unit inventory, around 100,000 are GH200 Grace Hopper superchips, which combine Nvidia's Grace CPU with the Hopper architecture, while the remainder are standalone H200 chips .

Source: Analytics Insight

Source: Analytics Insight

TSMC Partnership Critical to Ramp Up Production Amid Supply Constraints

To address the massive shortfall, Nvidia has approached contract manufacturer TSMC to significantly expand H200 production capacity

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. A third source indicated that Nvidia has asked TSMC to begin production of the additional chips, with work expected to start in the second quarter of 2026

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. The exact additional volume Nvidia intends to order from TSMC remains unclear, but the potential order would mark a significant expansion of H200 production at a time when Nvidia has been focused on ramping up its newer Blackwell and upcoming Rubin chip lines

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Huang confirmed at CES 2026 that Nvidia has already restarted its supply chain for H200 and is preparing to ship once the remaining regulatory details are resolved. "We've fired up our supply chain and H200s are flowing through the line," Huang said during a Q&A session with journalists in Las Vegas

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. The H200, part of Nvidia's previous-generation Hopper architecture, uses TSMC's 4-nanometer manufacturing process

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. Nvidia plans to fulfill initial orders from existing stock with the first batch of H200 chips expected to arrive before the Lunar New Year holiday in mid-February

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Source: Wccftech

Source: Wccftech

U.S. Export Licensing and Regulatory Risks Create Uncertainty

The planned shipments follow the Trump administration's decision to allow H200 sales to China with a 25% fee, reversing the Biden administration's ban on advanced AI chip exports to China

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. Under the revised policy announced in December, Nvidia can sell advanced AI accelerators into China, but only under a licensing regime that includes a 25% charge and government review of shipments

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. Huang emphasized that the gating factor is the completion of U.S. export licensing with the government, after which Nvidia expects purchase orders to speak for themselves

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However, regulatory risks persist as Beijing has yet to greenlight any shipments of H200 chips

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. Chinese officials are still deciding whether to allow H200 imports amid concerns that access to advanced foreign chips could slow development of the domestic AI semiconductor industry

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. One proposal under consideration would require bundling each H200 purchase with a certain ratio of domestically produced chips

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. Huang made clear that Nvidia does not plan to trumpet individual deals or frame the restart of China sales as a major corporate milestone. "We're not expecting any press releases or any large declarations," he said, adding that the company expects to learn about market uptake through normal commercial channels

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Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Pricing Strategy and Performance Advantages Drive Strong Market Interest

Nvidia has decided which H200 variants it will offer to Chinese clients and price them around $27,000 per chip, sources said

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. An eight-chip module is expected to cost around 1.5 million yuan, making it slightly more expensive than the now-unavailable H20 module, which previously sold for around 1.2 million yuan . However, given that the H200 delivers roughly six times the performance of the H20—a downgraded chip Nvidia designed specifically for the Chinese market that was later blocked by Beijing from being shipped into China—Chinese internet firms view the pricing as attractive

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The price also represents a roughly 15% discount compared to grey-market alternatives, which currently retail at over 1.75 million yuan

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. Technically, the H200 remains a highly attractive option for large-scale AI workloads. Based on Nvidia's Hopper architecture, it pairs the H100 GPU with 141GB of HBM3e memory and significantly higher memory bandwidth, making it particularly well-suited for training and inference of large language models

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. That capability gap is one reason Chinese customers have continued to pursue Nvidia hardware despite export controls and higher costs.

Global Supply Implications and Future Market Outlook

The moves raise concerns over whether there could be further tightening in global AI chip supplies as Nvidia now has to strike the right balance between meeting robust China demand and addressing constrained supplies elsewhere

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. Global customers of Nvidia have expressed worries regarding the company's capacity to allocate data center GPUs equitably between the United States and China amid the surge in Chinese demand

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. However, Nvidia addressed these concerns directly, stating that "licensed sales of the H200 to authorized customers in China will have no impact on our ability to supply customers in the United States"

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Huang has previously said that the Chinese market could be worth $50 billion per year, and none of those sales are currently included in Nvidia's forecasts

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. He added that any H200 sales would be in addition to the $500 billion two-year forecast the company provided last year

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. While Chinese chipmakers have managed to come up with products that rival the H20 in performance, there are not yet any equivalents of the H200

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. For now, Nvidia's approach to China is to wait and see—the supply chain is warming up, and customer interest is strong, but the outcome depends on whether regulators on both sides give the final stamp of approval

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