Nvidia scrambles to meet 2 million H200 AI chip orders from China as supply crunch intensifies

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Nvidia is racing against time to fulfill massive orders for its H200 AI chips from Chinese tech giants. With demand from Chinese technology companies reaching over 2 million units for 2026 but only 700,000 chips in stock, the company has approached Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co to ramp up production. The supply crunch raises concerns about global AI chip supply constraints and regulatory uncertainties as Beijing has yet to approve H200 shipments.

Nvidia Faces Massive H200 Demand from Chinese Technology Companies

Nvidia is scrambling to address an unprecedented surge in orders for its H200 AI chips from Chinese tech giants, revealing a significant gap between demand and available supply. Chinese technology companies have placed orders for more than 2 million H200 chips for 2026, while Nvidia currently holds just 700,000 units in stock

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. This supply crunch has prompted Nvidia to approach Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) to increase H200 production, with work expected to start in the second quarter of 2026

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Source: Wccftech

Source: Wccftech

The bulk of these orders for 2 million units has come from major Chinese internet companies, which view the H200 as a significant upgrade over chips currently available to them

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. ByteDance, the parent company of TikTok, plans to spend about 100 billion yuan on Nvidia's chips in 2026, up from roughly 85 billion yuan in 2025, if China allows H200 sales

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. Alibaba is also among the Chinese companies investing heavily in AI compute

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Supply Chain Bottlenecks Threaten Global AI Chip Supply

The decision to ramp up H200 production raises concerns about whether there could be further tightening in global AI chip supply as Nvidia now has to strike the right balance between meeting robust Chinese demand and addressing constrained supplies elsewhere

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. The H200, part of Nvidia's previous-generation Hopper architecture, uses TSMC's 4-nanometer manufacturing process

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TSMC already faces bottlenecks in addressing demand for Blackwell and related products from hyperscalers worldwide

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. The primary constraint comes from CoWoS packaging, a technology dominantly adopted by Hopper, Blackwell, and Blackwell Ultra products

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. TSMC already faces an explosion in capital expenditure and labor shortages, yet partners are demanding more from the Taiwan chip giant

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Of Nvidia's current 700,000-unit inventory, around 100,000 are GH200 Grace Hopper superchips, which combine Nvidia's Grace CPU with the Hopper GPU architecture, while the remainder are standalone H200 chips

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. Nvidia plans to fulfill initial orders from existing stock with the first batch of H200 chips expected to arrive before the Lunar New Year holiday in mid-February .

Pricing and Performance Drive Chinese Interest

Nvidia has decided which H200 variants it will offer to Chinese clients and price them around $27,000 per chip, though pricing would vary based on purchase volume and specific customer arrangements

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. An eight-chip module is expected to cost around 1.5 million yuan, making it slightly more expensive than the now-unavailable H20 module, which previously sold for around 1.2 million yuan

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The H200 delivers roughly six times the performance of the H20β€”a downgraded chip Nvidia designed specifically for the Chinese market that was later blocked by Beijing from being shipped into China

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. Chinese internet firms view the pricing as attractive given this performance jump . The price also represents a roughly 15% discount compared to grey-market alternatives, which currently retail at over 1.75 million yuan .

Regulatory Uncertainties Create Risk for Nvidia

The planned shipments follow U.S. President Donald Trump's decision earlier this month to allow H200 sales to China with a 25% fee, reversing the Biden administration's ban on advanced AI chip exports to China

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. However, Beijing has yet to greenlight any shipments of H200 chips, creating significant regulatory uncertainties for Nvidia

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Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Chinese officials are still deciding whether to allow H200 imports amid concerns that access to advanced foreign chips could slow development of the domestic AI semiconductor industry

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. One proposal under consideration would require bundling each H200 purchase with a certain ratio of domestically produced chips

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. U.S. export controls and potential import decisions by China create significant regulatory risk for Nvidia's ability to sell and deliver these GPU units to Chinese clients

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Nvidia said in response to a request for comment that licensed sales of the H200 to authorized customers in China will have no impact on its ability to supply customers in the United States. The company noted that "China is a highly competitive market with rapidly growing local chip suppliers. Blocking all U.S. exports undercut our national and economic security and only benefited foreign competition"

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. Despite China-related uncertainty, Bank of America Securities analyst Vivek Arya called Nvidia his top pick in the space, noting that the company has visibility into at least $500 billion in cumulative sales across 2025-26

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