Memory Shortage Drives PC Prices Up 70% as AI Demand Reshapes the Computing Market

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A global memory chip shortage is sending PC prices soaring as manufacturers Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron prioritize High Bandwidth Memory for AI data centers over consumer products. DRAM prices surged 45% to 50% in Q4 2025, with another 55% to 60% increase expected in Q1 2026. Major PC makers like Lenovo and Dell are stockpiling components while warning customers about rising costs that may persist through 2028.

Memory Shortage Triggers Unprecedented Price Surge Across PC Market

The global memory chip shortage has reached critical levels, forcing PC manufacturers to confront the steepest price increases the industry has witnessed in recent history. Mainstream PC memory and storage costs rose 40% to 70% between Q1 and Q4 2025, according to Omdia

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. The situation shows no signs of immediate relief, with TrendForce forecasting conventional DRAM contract prices will surge 55% to 60% in the first quarter of 2026, following a 45% to 50% increase in Q4 2025

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. Dell Technologies COO Jeff Clarke stated that the company has "never seen costs move at the rate" they are currently rising

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. Desktop PCs took the initial hit, with RAM costs soaring more than 500% in some cases, and laptops were sure to follow

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Source: PC Gamer

Source: PC Gamer

AI Demand Reshapes Memory Production Priorities

The root cause of this supply crisis lies in demand from AI data centers that have fundamentally altered the semiconductor landscape. Shannon Robb, marketing manager at memory manufacturer Patriot, explained the sheer scale during CES 2026: "The AI companies bought, like, 40% of the wafer production. We're not even talking finished goods, like, packages -- not even chips. They're just wafers"

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. Major semiconductor companies Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix have redirected wafer capacity to produce High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) chips for AI accelerators, leaving consumer electronics manufacturers scrambling for supply

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. Micron's Chief Business Officer Sumit Sadana confirmed the severity, stating "We're sold out for 2026," while CEO Sanjay Mehrotra warned that tight industry conditions in DRAM and NAND flash memory will "persist through and beyond" 2026

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Source: Tom's Guide

Source: Tom's Guide

Increased Component Costs Force Strategic Stockpiling

Facing the RAM price crisis, PC manufacturers have adopted divergent strategies to navigate turbulent waters. Lenovo, which holds 25% of the PC market share with 70.8 million PCs shipped in 2025, appears better positioned than competitors

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. Bloomberg reported that the world's largest PC maker hoarded RAM just before prices started getting truly untenable, stockpiling upwards of 50% more than usual

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. Steve Long, Lenovo's commercial head for its intelligent devices group, confirmed the company made long-term agreements with vendors in late September and October to meet expected memory demand for 2026

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. Lenovo notified customers that all pricing would expire on January 1, 2026

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. Framework, the modular PC maker, has raised prices multiple times, with its 128GB desktop configuration increasing from $1,999 to $2,459

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Memory Prices Won't Normalize Until 2027 or Beyond

Industry experts and manufacturers offer varying timelines for when the memory shortage might ease, but consensus points to an extended crisis. Sascha Krohn, Asus' Director of Technical Marketing, believes the memory shortage should "start to normalize" by 2027, though he acknowledges predictions range from mid-2026 at the most optimistic to 2028 or beyond at the most pessimistic

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. Patriot's Shannon Robb shared that memory prices haven't yet peaked and noted that major memory makers like SK Hynix are reluctant to increase capacity because "they don't want to be left holding the bag when this eventually pops"

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. The production economics explain the supply chain constraints: HBM uses approximately three times as much wafer space as standard DDR5 due to larger chip sizes and lower production yields, according to IDC analysts, while profit margins on advanced server-grade modules reach up to 75%

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Soaring Prices of PC Memory Impact Entire Consumer Electronics Industry

The ripple effects extend far beyond desktop computers and laptops. Consumer device prices could rise up to 20%, affecting smartphones, gaming consoles, and other consumer electronics

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. The International Data Corporation (IDC) warns that PC shipments could shrink by up to 9% in 2026 under pessimistic scenarios, with average selling prices rising 6% to 8%

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. Taiwanese memory packaging and testing firms, including Powertech, Huatong, and ChipMOS, have raised service prices by up to 30%, operating near full capacity

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. Jitesh Ubrani, research manager at IDC, warned: "Memory shortages are affecting the entire industry, and the impact will likely reshape market dynamics over the next two years. The severity of the shortage raises the risk that smaller brands may not survive"

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PC Components Market Faces Structural Transformation

The memory shortage is forcing a fundamental shift in how the PC market operates. Long from Lenovo predicts more PCs will edge toward premium with higher-end specs—more RAM and more storage—plus higher-performance chips, while the lower-end market may be forced to rely on expanding cloud compute

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. "I don't believe in a world that it's all going to the cloud [or] it's all going to be local," Long said. "It's going to be a hybrid world"

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. Module manufacturers like Patriot emphasize they're not profiting from the crisis. "Trust me, we're not laughing our way to the bank with that because we've got to pay to get these parts," Robb explained, adding that "we literally just have to get what we can get"

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. Even when supply constraints ease, Krohn from Asus notes another challenge: "Nobody wants to be the first one to lower prices," suggesting it could take several months or quarters for prices to slowly decline after supply normalizes

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. SK Hynix announced plans to invest $13 billion in a new advanced packaging plant for AI memory, with construction beginning in April, though new production capacity will not arrive until 2027

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. For consumers, Patriot's advice remains practical: "If you're going to buy memory, now might be a good time," though Robb also counsels buyers to "get a kit that makes sense" rather than chasing top-tier specifications during this pricing crisis

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