Trump's Proposed Changes to CHIPS Act Could Hinder AI Growth and Raise Consumer Costs

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President Trump's threats to alter the CHIPS Act and impose tariffs on semiconductors could slow U.S. AI advancement and increase costs for consumers, according to economic experts.

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Trump's Proposed Changes to CHIPS Act

President Donald Trump has recently threatened to alter federal government contracts with chipmakers and impose new tariffs on the semiconductor industry, potentially impacting the growth of artificial intelligence (AI) in the United States. These proposed changes could significantly affect the CHIPS and Science Act, a Biden administration-era law aimed at boosting domestic chip production

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Potential Impact on AI Advancement

Economic experts warn that Trump's dual-pronged approach could slow or harm the U.S.'s goal of maintaining a competitive edge in AI research. Saikat Chaudhuri, an expert from U.C. Berkeley's Haas School of Business, expressed surprise at Trump's criticism of the CHIPS Act, noting that chip production has been a major bottleneck for AI advancement

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The CHIPS Act and Its Progress

The CHIPS and Science Act, implemented by the Biden administration, has already provided $30 billion in support for 23 projects across 15 states, potentially adding 115,000 manufacturing and construction jobs. This investment aims to increase U.S. production of advanced computer chips from 0% to 30% of the world's supply

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Trump's Alternative Approach

Trump has suggested that companies like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) don't need financial incentives to prioritize chipmaking in the U.S. Instead, he proposes using the threat of high tariffs (up to 100%) as motivation for companies to build plants in the country without government assistance

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Potential Consequences for Consumers and Industry

If the Trump administration imposes tariffs, experts predict a rise in prices for goods using semiconductors and chips. This could affect a wide range of products, from smartphones and gaming devices to smart home appliances and vehicles. Even tech giants like Nvidia may eventually feel the impact of these tariffs

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Economic Implications

Brett House, a professor at Columbia Business School, warns that broadly based tariffs could be detrimental to the U.S. economy. For the AI sector specifically, such tariffs would significantly increase the costs of high-powered chips from abroad, a crucial input for the industry

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Long-term Effects on U.S. Technological Leadership

Experts argue that the proposed changes could reduce the capacity to create a domestic chip-building sector and create uncertainty for future investments. This could potentially chill new capital allocations to the industry while making imported chips more expensive. House emphasizes that American technological leadership has historically been supported by openness to global markets and labor flows, suggesting that closing off these avenues may not lead to success

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