Meta AI Agent Muse Sparks 6% Stock Rally as JPMorgan Upgrades to Buy with $820 Price Target

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Meta Platforms launched its Muse personal AI agent, reaching #3 in the US app store on day two with usage running at 10x training cohorts. JPMorgan upgraded Meta stock to buy, citing early traction in agentic AI and frontier models despite concerns over AI infrastructure spending reaching negative $65-75 billion free cash flow by 2027-2028.

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JPMorgan Upgrades Meta Stock Following AI Product Momentum

JPMorgan upgraded Meta Platforms to buy from neutral, raising its price target to $820—indicating 30% upside potential from Wednesday's close.

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The upgrade follows Meta's launch of its Muse personal AI agent app powered by the company's Muse Spark family of models. Analyst Doug Anmuth believes Meta is in the early stages of releasing frontier models and AI-driven products beyond advertising, with significant upside potential ahead.

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Meta stock surged more than 6% on Wednesday, becoming one of the biggest gainers in the S&P 500 on an otherwise down day for markets.

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With Wednesday's gains, Meta Platforms shares climbed back to roughly where they started the year, recovering from recent concerns about AI infrastructure spending.

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Muse AI Agent Shows Strong Early Traction

Meta's Muse AI agent reached as high as #3 in the US app store on its second day, with early usage running at 10x that of training cohorts.

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Meta chief AI officer Alexandr Wang stated that usage of the agent has "blown way past our projections" in a social media post.

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The personal AI agent is designed to autonomously perform tasks like sending emails, making reservations, and booking flights.

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Built for users with no technical background, Muse works through conversational messaging either in a dedicated app or inside WhatsApp, and is available only to those aged 18 and over.

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AI Monetization Strategy and Revenue Potential

Meta operates Muse as a freemium model with subscription tiers of $20 per month or $100 per month depending on usage, while keeping the service free "for most of what people need."

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While AI monetization isn't a priority at the moment, JPMorgan's Anmuth noted a total addressable market potentially in the tens of trillions of dollars when Meta is ready to fully monetize.

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Wedbush analyst Ygal Arounian estimates Muse subscriptions could reach around $5 billion in 2027, representing about 1.5% of Meta Platforms' total revenue estimate.

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He projects the US and Canada could create a $3.3 billion opportunity, while Europe represents a $2.1 billion opportunity.

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However, Arounian maintained a Neutral rating, noting that monetization remains "somewhat limited" in the near term as this represents a "brand-new-to-world product" requiring time for meaningful paid adoption.

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Free Cash Flow Pressure from AI Infrastructure Spending

The more successful Meta's AI projects become, the greater demand the company will face for compute resources. JPMorgan now forecasts even greater pressure on Meta's free cash flow in 2027 and 2028, projecting it could be negative by $65 billion to $75 billion each year.

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This forecast doesn't account for any AI product monetization by the company.

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Meta has poured billions into its AI division, known as Meta Superintelligence Labs, and expects to spend up to $145 billion this year—nearly double its 2025 outlay.

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Concerns around the scale of spending on AI infrastructure have weighed on shares in recent months.

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Custom AI Chip Development to Reduce Costs

To control AI infrastructure costs, Meta Platforms plans to deploy its latest in-house custom AI chip in data centers during the first half of 2027.

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The company is testing the third generation of its chip line, MTIA 450, code-named Arke, and expects its next processor, MTIA 500 (code-named Astrid), to complete design work in about a month with deployment by the end of 2027.

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Meta is working with Broadcom on chip designs and TSMC on production, which could reduce the company's reliance on NVIDIA processors.

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Meta's vice president of engineering Yee Jiun Song stated the custom AI chip effort aims to deliver better performance per watt and per dollar.

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Meta One Subscription Service Expands AI Access

Separately, Meta launched Meta One, a subscription service offering expanded AI access and premium features across Instagram, Facebook, WhatsApp and Meta AI.

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The service launches with more than 50 features and has recorded 15 million subscriptions and trials to date. Single-product subscriptions start at $2.99 per month, individual bundles at $7.99, and creator and business bundles at $14.99.

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Core Advertising Business Still Has AI-Driven Upside

Beyond new AI product announcements, JPMorgan believes there's still meaningful headroom in core advertising from AI-driven improvements tied to content recommendations and engagement, better ad targeting and retrieval, and AI content creation.

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While developments in AI have already helped improve Meta's advertising platforms and grow ad revenue, the company continues to see opportunities for AI advancements in its core business.

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Meta carries a Buy consensus rating with an average price target of $774.58 among analysts.

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The release is part of Meta boss Mark Zuckerberg's ambition to pursue "personal superintelligence" as the company scrambles to keep pace in the AI race with OpenAI, Anthropic and Google—the makers of ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini.

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