Nscale and Anthropic negotiate second $45 billion AI infrastructure deal despite market headwinds

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UK-based AI infrastructure provider Nscale is in advanced talks with Anthropic for a second $45 billion compute deal covering another 460-megawatt data center at West Virginia's Monarch campus. The potential agreement comes as both companies face mounting investor concerns over debt-driven expansion and prepare for separate IPOs.

Nscale and Anthropic Near Second Massive Compute Deal

Nscale and Anthropic are negotiating another $45 billion compute deal just over a month after announcing their first agreement of the same value

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. The Nvidia-backed data center developer is seeking to sell AI cloud computing power to the Claude AI maker for a second facility at its Monarch data center campus in West Virginia

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. The second building would deliver 460 megawatts of computing capacity using Nvidia's advanced Vera Rubin AI chips

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Source: Gizmodo

Source: Gizmodo

The terms of the prospective agreement are expected to resemble the $45 billion deal the two companies signed in August for the first data center building on the site

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. Under this arrangement, Nscale will own and operate the data center and the chips inside, providing Anthropic computing capacity that the AI lab pays for as it is delivered

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. Anthropic also holds a right of first refusal on a third building at the site

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Why This Multibillion-Dollar Deal Matters for AI Infrastructure

This potential Nscale and Anthropic deal represents a critical expansion of AI infrastructure at a time when computing capacity has become the primary bottleneck for AI model development. Anthropic said earlier this year that growing demand for its Claude AI models and products has caused "inevitable strain" on its infrastructure

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. The company has announced a flurry of deals with infrastructure partners to increase its computing capacity, including major agreements with Advanced Micro Devices, Elon Musk's SpaceX, Google and Broadcom

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Source: Market Screener

Source: Market Screener

For Nscale, securing a second multibillion-dollar deal with Anthropic could help reassure potential investors ahead of its planned $30 billion IPO in New York

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. The company has grown rapidly since launch, increasing its total contracted value from $100 million to more than $103 billion in two-and-a-half years

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Mounting Challenges and Investor Concerns

The AI data center sector faces significant headwinds as investor scrutiny intensifies. Nscale reported a net loss of $1 billion on revenue of $141 million in the first half of 2026

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. Chinese group ByteDance, which owns TikTok, contributed 73 per cent of Nscale's $33 million in revenue last year

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Investors have sharpened their scrutiny of companies that are increasingly turning to debt-driven AI infrastructure expansion

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. Last week, Nscale rival CoreWeave's shares slumped amid concerns over its $50 billion debt load, fueling a global AI stock rout

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. Publicly listed neoclouds CoreWeave and Nebius have seen their shares drop 28% and 27%, respectively, in the past month

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Bloomberg News also reported that a cohort of investors urged Anthropic to lower its IPO valuation target after a series of market setbacks for AI companies

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. Both Anthropic and Nscale are currently pursuing IPOs, with Anthropic still expected to go public this year

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Execution Risks and Power Grid Challenges

Critical risks remain around execution. As of mid-September, when Nscale unveiled its IPO prospectus, the company had no binding commitments for any of the funding required to build the site, and Anthropic can walk away if financing is not in place by a set deadline

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. Crucial permits for the site, including state water permits and an air permit for the gas-fired plant that will power the campus, are still pending

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The Monarch data center campus will rely on its own gas-fired power plant rather than the power grid, adding to the cost and complexity of the project but avoiding lengthy connection delays

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. The campus will require 2GW of generating capacity to run 1.37GW of computing power, with Nscale targeting completion in the first half of 2028

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Source: Korea Times

Source: Korea Times

Meanwhile, Microsoft pulled out of a deal to anchor a flagship data center for Nscale in Loughton, Essex after power connection delays pushed its expected supply date into the 2030s

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. Nscale said it remains committed to the Loughton project and is exploring alternative power sources, adding that its relationship with Microsoft remains strong for their other projects together

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What to Watch: Deal Closure and Market Response

The additional deal with Anthropic has not been finalized and could fall apart

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. Due diligence on the second building in West Virginia was still under way, and a deal could be signed within a few weeks

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. Sources cautioned that talks are still under way and that the details could change

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Watch for how investors respond to this announcement given current market sentiment around debt-heavy AI infrastructure plays. The ability of Nscale to secure financing and deliver on its ambitious timeline will be critical. For Anthropic, successfully securing this additional computing capacity could strengthen its competitive position as it prepares for its own public debut. Microsoft and Anthropic are expected to be major customers of Nscale in the future, according to the company's prospectus

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