Morgan Stanley backs Kingsoft Cloud as pure AI cloud play with 64% upside potential

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Morgan Stanley initiated coverage of Kingsoft Cloud with an overweight rating and $15 price target, representing 64% upside. The investment bank views the Chinese company as a pure AI cloud play, forecasting AI will contribute over 60% of revenue by 2028 as it transitions from a mid-tier commodity cloud provider.

Morgan Stanley Identifies Kingsoft Cloud as Premier AI Cloud Investment

Morgan Stanley has initiated coverage of Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited with an overweight rating and set a price target of $15, signaling 64% upside from the current stock performance level of $9.13

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. The investment bank views Kingsoft Cloud as a pure AI cloud play and its preferred name in China IT services and software coverage, marking a significant endorsement for the company's strategic pivot from traditional cloud services to AI-focused infrastructure

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Analyst Yang Liu emphasized the company's "early and firm transition from a mid-tier commodity cloud player to AI cloud, with rapidly accelerating AI revenue and improving profitability, anchored by powerful ecosystem support from Xiaomi and Kingsoft Group"

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. This transformation positions Kingsoft Cloud favorably among China's top public cloud providers as the AI era accelerates.

Aggressive Revenue Growth Projections Drive Bullish Outlook

Morgan Stanley forecasts a 35% revenue compound annual growth rate and a 79% adjusted EBITDA compound annual growth rate for Kingsoft Cloud over 2025-2028, driven primarily by the AI cloud business

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. The AI-focused cloud player already demonstrated strong momentum, with AI contributing 34% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2025

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The firm projects AI will account for more than 40% of revenue in 2026 and exceed 60% by 2028, underscoring the rapid shift in the company's business mix

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. Morgan Stanley expects adjusted operating margin to reach 6.9% in 2028 compared to negative 1.6% in 2025, supported by favorable unit economics of GPU cloud and potentially model-as-a-service offerings

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Strategic Partnerships and Pricing Power Amid Chip Shortage

Kingsoft Cloud has demonstrated strong pricing power amid a global chip shortage that has disrupted other AI players, positioning the company to continue adding value

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. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with several AI giants, including an agreement to provide core infrastructure to Xiaomi's AI ecosystem and smart home platforms

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The company has recorded revenue growth from a variety of major customers, which should eventually translate into share gains, according to Liu

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. Strong cash flow should "ease balance sheet constraints," helping maintain elevated stock valuations

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Risks and Market Reception

Morgan Stanley derived its price target from a 5.5x 2027 enterprise value-to-EBITDA multiple, at a discount to the U.S. neocloud peer median of 10x to reflect greater uncertainty around supply chain availability

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. The firm identified downside risks including supply-side restrictions leading to procurement shortfall, higher-than-expected interest rates leading to higher cost of funding, and slower AI model development in China

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Despite shares falling nearly 12% year to date, the stock climbed 3% in premarket trading following the bullish call

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. Morgan Stanley's rating aligns with consensus on the Street, as all 11 analysts covering Kingsoft Cloud have a buy or strong buy rating on the stock

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