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SoftBank's billion-dollar loss may have put a cap on AI's natural gas ambitions
SoftBank might not be the first to invest in a hot trend, but when it does, it goes big. Witness its $30 billion bet on OpenAI in early 2025 or its announcement in February that its SB Energy subsidiary would spend $33 billion on a 9.2-gigawatt natural gas power plant. If you can't be first, be
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SoftBank's failed bet on gas turbines for AI drove $3.7bn charge
Japanese group overordered small turbines for US data centres as industry shifted to more energy-efficient models SoftBank's $3.7bn charge on power equipment for US data centres was driven by founder Masayoshi Son's failed bet on smaller turbines that have since fallen out of favour as the
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SoftBank loss: $3.7bn written off on AI data centre power gear
Behind the SoftBank loss: 13GW of gas turbines reserved for AI data centres, the WSJ reports. Its CFO denies Elon Musk's default claim as borrowing costs double. SoftBank Group swung to a net loss of ¥1.12tn ($7.1bn) in the July to September quarter. The biggest single hit was a $3.7bn writedown
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SoftBank Loses $7 Billion as AI Data Centers Turn Out to Be Risky Investment
The AI data center boom is looking as shaky as ever. Nowhere is that more apparent than at the Japanese megafirm SoftBank -- perhaps best known for bankrolling WeWork before its spectacular implosion -- and which now seems to be standing on a financial snowpack that could collapse into an
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SoftBank's AI Empire Rests on a Single Asset -- And It's Over-
Arm's fluctuating share value directly impacts SoftBank's funding and overall portfolio value. Last year, SoftBank Group Chairman and CEO Masayoshi Son declared his vision of turning the Japanese technology investment group into the biggest platform provider for "artificial super intelligence".
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SoftBank takes $3.7 billion hit after canceling AI power equipment orders
SoftBank reported a $3.7 billion hit to earnings after cancelling excess orders for gas-producing equipment intended to support its AI hardware buildout. The company had ordered more equipment than it could use, according to the supplied information. The cancellations followed a surge in
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SoftBank's first quarterly loss in two years came from cancelled gas turbine orders meant to power its AI data centres. The debt taken on to fund the buildout is the cost still rising.
SoftBank has posted its first quarterly net loss in about two years, a ¥1.12 trillion (about $7 billion) hit. The bill came from the gas turbines it bought to power its American AI data centres
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Source: The Next Web
A year earlier the Japanese investment group made a ¥2.5 trillion profit, and analysts had expected a ¥129 billion profit this time
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.The largest single component was a $3.7 billion charge on power-generation equipment: a $2.9 billion write-off of advance payments plus about $900 million from contract changes
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. SoftBank had paid out $9.5 billion by the end of September to lock in equipment against shortages, then changed its plans3
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. Chief accounting officer Kazuko Kimiwada said cancellation fees could not be recovered, though up to $2.1 billion in rebates on future purchases can be claimed over ten years3
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.Per the Wall Street Journal, SoftBank reserved over 13 gigawatts of turbines from late 2025 to early 2026, the bulk of them from GE Vernova
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. That is capacity the paper likened to more than six Hoover Dams, and the company then cancelled what it could not use3
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. Per TechCrunch, the over-order, begun about two years ago, ran to almost 50% more turbines than needed1
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Source: TechCrunch
The charge fell mainly on smaller turbines that Masayoshi Son, SoftBank's chairman and CEO, had bet on
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. They were quicker to deliver but costlier and less fuel-efficient to run. Per the FT, the industry has since shifted to larger, more efficient units as primary power instead of backup2
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Source: FT
SoftBank says it ordered ahead of expected shortages, then changed the orders because the specifications evolved and costs and lead times improved
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. Keeping them, the company says, would have cost more over time3
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. Peter Gardett, chief executive of Noreva, said SB Energy had no choice but to overbook to get turbines at all, and called the charge "price discovery finally happening"1
.Elon Musk posted on X that SoftBank was defaulting on its turbine orders
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. CFO Yoshimitsu Goto's answer: "This is simply not correct at all. There is no such default."3
The company says the charge reflects changed orders; no payment was missed3
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. Per Futurism, SoftBank first attributed the loss to Ohio data-centre projects, then called the two unrelated4
. The plant at the centre of that dispute, Ports-Pike in Ohio, continues as planned, per SoftBank4
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.Revenue beat estimates at ¥2.22 trillion
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. Some analysts see the financing costs as the bigger problem3
. Interest costs for the half-year through September more than doubled to ¥676 billion3
. SoftBank also raised a record $56.5 billion in the quarter, including an $11.87 billion term loan and a $10 billion bond3
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. Per Futurism, more than $11 billion of the September bonds were junk-rated, making this the largest corporate junk-bond offering ever4
. "The more worrying factor is the increase in financial costs," Kazuki Sawamura of Shinkin Asset Management told Bloomberg3
. Bloomberg Intelligence expects more fundraising in 2027, with the annual interest bill heading above ¥1 trillion3
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SoftBank says its loan-to-value ratio, its loans measured against its collateral, was 15.9% at end-September, below its own 25% limit
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. A separate reading by Standard & Poor's, using a different method, put it at 20-25% in June5
. Per figures cited by Astris Advisory, Arm is the main collateral at 54% of the adjusted equity value of holdings5
. The company's net asset value has fallen to ¥59.8 trillion from ¥72.3 trillion in June, which Morningstar attributes mainly to Arm's 23% share-price drop5
. The OpenAI bet sits alongside it: $54.6 billion invested against a company-stated fair value of $99.6 billion3
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. The latest funding round is not yet reflected in those numbers, and Goto said an announcement this quarter is highly likely3
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. Shares have fallen roughly half to nearly 60% from their June peak3
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.The loss has not stopped the spending. The day before results, SoftBank and Grab committed $1.85 billion of seed funding for AI data centres in Malaysia
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. On Thursday it led Agile Robots' $500 million round3
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.Goto said SoftBank is conducting "a thorough reassessment" that includes how it buys equipment, and put the mood in six words: "We need to balance between gas and brake."
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04 Aug 2026•Business and Economy

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