Trust and Identity Gaps Threaten Agentic Commerce as AI Agents Face Infrastructure Barriers

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Consumer appetite for AI shopping agents is outpacing merchant readiness, with nearly one in three willing to trust agents with purchases up to $500. But the infrastructure to verify identity, track authorization, and resolve disputes for machine-initiated transactions doesn't exist yet, threatening billions in lost revenue and exposing critical weaknesses in the payments landscape.

Consumer Demand for AI Shopping Agents Outpaces Merchant Infrastructure

Consumers are ready to delegate purchasing decisions to AI agents faster than the payments industry anticipated. A Worldpay survey of 8,000 consumers across eight global markets revealed that nearly one in three global shoppers would trust an AI shopping agent to manage travel purchases of up to $500, while almost one in four would go up to $1,000

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. For digital goods and subscriptions, around half said they would trust an agent with purchases up to $50, with comfort extending further up the value scale. In retail, 30 to 34% would delegate purchases up to $50, with significant numbers comfortable beyond that threshold.

This mainstream appetite for agentic commerce exists despite most merchants having built no infrastructure to support it. The agentic commerce market is projected to reach $1.7 trillion by 2030, yet nearly half of consumers still cite fraud and security concerns, particularly around rogue agents, lack of data transparency, and difficulty reversing unwanted purchases

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. Just 5% of consumers worldwide reported having no concerns about agentic commerce at all. The gap between consumer readiness and merchant readiness threatens to become expensive for businesses that fail to close it.

Source: PYMNTS

Source: PYMNTS

Identity Verification for AI Agents Becomes Critical Barrier

When a consumer delegates a purchase to an AI agent, something fundamental changes about the transaction. The consumer is not present at the moment of execution. They set parameters beforehand, the agent acts within what it understands those parameters to be, and a charge appears on their statement. Traditional dispute resolution frameworks rest on one foundational assumption: a human being made a decision. In machine-initiated transactions, none of that applies cleanly

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Experian is addressing this challenge through Agent Trust, a framework that creates a verified link between consumers, their devices and the AI agents acting on their behalf. Visa, Cloudflare, and Skyfire are part of the ecosystem

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. At the center of Experian Agent Trust is Human-to-Agent Binding, a persistent, verifiable connection between a verified consumer, their device, and their AI agent. Experian issues an Agent Trust Token for each interaction, validating identity and transaction fraud risk in real time. An Agent Registry maintains a dynamic trust score for each agent based on behavioral signals and transaction history over time.

Skyfire CEO Amir Sarhangi told PYMNTS that the identity gap is what the industry needs to solve first. "Identity and trust are what we care the most about because at the end of the day, that's the trust layer that needs to be created between the human, agent and the merchant," he said

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Source: PYMNTS

Source: PYMNTS

Consent and Permission Architecture Missing from Current Systems

Olaseni Alabede, vice president of product at Visa, emphasized that acquirers must determine what qualifies as an agent-initiated transaction before building any system or updating fraud models. He introduced the concept of "minimum viable intent" as foundational to any scalable agentic commerce environment. "It is being able to ask a couple of questions as an acquirer. Number one, who is the agent? Who authorized the agent to carry out whatever transaction it is carrying out? What is it allowed to do? How is it making the payment? And then lastly, can we trace the agent activity?"

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Without those controls, fraud models would degrade and dispute resolution breaks.

The consent and permission architecture that agentic transactions require is almost entirely absent from current merchant infrastructure. Merchants need a clear, auditable record of what the agent was authorized to do and what it actually did. This means capturing consumer instructions and preserving them as transaction context to validate consent later. Alabede described future transactions in which consumers provide agents with parameters rather than direct checkout actions: "I tell an agent, 'Buy me a pair of shoes or this gift for my wife within this price range at this merchant'"

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Chargebacks and False Positive Problems Compound Risk

According to Mastercard's 2025 State of Chargebacks report, global chargeback volume is already forecast to grow 24% between 2025 and 2028, reaching 324 million transactions annually. That projection was made before the current wave of agentic commerce adoption

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. Visa has now expanded its Agentic Ready program globally, while Mastercard and Santander have completed Europe's first live end-to-end AI agent payment within a regulated banking framework.

The dispute risk runs in both directions. Merchants whose fraud systems were built for human behavior are already blocking legitimate AI agent transactions, misclassifying them as malicious bot activity and declining revenue that should have converted. According to Imperva's 2025 Bad Bot Report, 51% of internet traffic is now generated by bots, of which 37% is considered malicious

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. A legitimate AI agent shopping on behalf of a real consumer looks, at the network level, very similar to a bad actor. The PYMNTS Intelligence report showed that issuer false declines contribute to roughly $430 billion in annual lost sales globally, a figure that compounds the agentic commerce problem as a blocked transaction may never surface to the consumer at all

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Payments Landscape Adapts to Machine-Initiated Commerce

Alabede emphasized that the transition is less revolutionary than many assume. "When I speak with the acquirer, I always encourage them to treat agentic-driven eCommerce the same way they treated eCommerce itself or mobile transactions when they came out. Essentially, it is just another channel that plugs into their core stack," he told PYMNTS

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. The underlying payment rails, tokenization systems, and orchestration layers largely remain intact. The difference lies upstream, where autonomous agents, not humans, begin initiating transactions.

Industry groups and payment networks are moving toward interoperability standards. Alabede pointed to initiatives including Visa's Trusted Agent Protocol, frameworks emerging from the FIDO Alliance, and efforts underway through EMVCo. The common objective is interoperability around agent identity, authorization, and transaction accountability

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. Trust becomes the foundation when consumers delegate transactions to agents. The agent needs to be registered by some authority to avoid scenarios where the consumer says they asked the agent to do one thing and it did another.

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