Agentic Commerce Exposes Critical Gaps in Merchant Infrastructure as Consumer Trust Surges

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Nearly one in three global shoppers trust AI shopping agents with purchases up to $500, according to Worldpay's survey of 8,000 consumers. But most merchants lack the infrastructure to support agentic commerce, creating a dangerous gap between consumer readiness and merchant preparedness. With chargebacks forecast to reach 324 million transactions by 2028, payment networks are racing to build trust and identity frameworks before AI agents become foundational commerce infrastructure.

Consumer Appetite for AI Agents Outpaces Merchant Readiness

Agentic commerce is moving from theoretical concept to mainstream consumer behavior faster than the payments industry anticipated. A Worldpay survey of 8,000 consumers across eight global markets revealed striking levels of trust in AI shopping agents: nearly one in three shoppers said they would trust an AI agent to manage travel purchases up to $500, while almost one in four would delegate purchases up to $1,000

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. For digital goods and subscriptions, around half of consumers expressed comfort with AI agents handling purchases up to $50, with significant numbers willing to go higher. In retail, 30 to 34% would delegate purchases up to $50, demonstrating mainstream consumer appetite for a commerce model that most merchants have not yet built any infrastructure to support

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This gap between consumer readiness and merchant preparedness creates significant financial risk. The fundamental shift in agentic commerce is that consumers are not present at the moment of transaction execution. They set parameters beforehand, AI agents act within what they understand those parameters to be, and charges appear on statements. When questioned, merchants face disputes with an entirely new character that traditional frameworks were never designed to handle.

Source: PYMNTS

Source: PYMNTS

The Chargeback Crisis Nobody Saw Coming

According to Mastercard's 2025 State of Chargebacks report, global chargeback volume is forecast to grow 24% between 2025 and 2028, reaching 324 million transactions annually

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. This projection was calculated before the current wave of agentic commerce adoption. Traditional dispute resolution frameworks rest on one foundational assumption: a human being made a decision at the point of purchase. Intent, authorization, and liability are all determined by reference to what a cardholder chose to do. In autonomous transactions, none of that applies cleanly. The cardholder chose earlier, in a different context, with different information, and whether the AI agent's specific action fell within the scope of that earlier choice becomes the critical question that most merchants cannot currently answer.

Visa has expanded its Agentic Ready program globally, while Mastercard and Santander have completed Europe's first live end-to-end AI agent payment within a regulated banking framework

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. The front end of agentic commerce is being built at speed, but the back end—what happens when disputes arise, when consumers don't recognize charges, when agents act on ambiguous instructions—is being left for later.

The False Positive Problem Blocking Revenue

The dispute risk runs in both directions. While much industry conversation focuses on AI agents making unwanted purchases, the reverse problem is equally significant: merchants whose fraud systems were built for human behavior are already blocking legitimate AI agent transactions, misclassifying them as malicious bot activity and declining revenue that should have converted

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. According to Imperva's 2025 Bad Bot Report, 51% of internet traffic is now generated by bots, of which 37% is considered malicious. Fraud systems calibrated to flag non-human behavior operate in an environment where not all non-human behavior is fraudulent. A legitimate AI shopping agent looks, at the network level, very similar to a bad actor. If merchant infrastructure cannot distinguish between them, it will decline both, creating lost revenue with no chargeback to flag it and no signal to prompt review.

Building Minimum Viable Intent for Machine-Initiated Transactions

"Before building any system, before updating any fraud model or before updating even their dispute processing, the first thing acquirers need to do is really get clear internally on what qualifies as an agent-initiated transaction," Olaseni Alabede, vice president of product at Visa, told PYMNTS

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. Alabede described a framework he calls "minimum viable intent," which requires answering critical questions: Who is the agent? Who authorized the agent to carry out the transaction? What is it allowed to do? How is it making the payment? And can we trace the agent activity? Without those controls, fraud models degrade and dispute resolution breaks

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The solution requires a clear, auditable record of what AI agents were authorized to do and what they actually did. This consent and permission architecture is almost entirely absent from current merchant infrastructure

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. Systems like Unified Dispute Management System (UDMS) and ResolveLab use AI and machine learning to construct and analyze the evidence trail that agentic transactions generate, capturing what an agent was authorized to do, the scope and limits of that authorization, and a timestamped record of each action taken.

Trust and Identity Become Core Payment Products

"Trust is the foundation when it comes to agent eCommerce transactions," Alabede emphasized. "Because again, the consumer is not the one initiating the transaction directly. The consumer is delegating to an agent"

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. In agentic commerce, identity extends beyond verifying the consumer—the agent itself must also be trusted. Industry groups and payment networks are moving toward standards, including Visa's Trusted Agent Protocol, frameworks from the FIDO Alliance, and efforts through EMVCo. The common objective is interoperability around agent identity and authorization and transaction accountability

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Alabede described future transactions where consumers provide agents with parameters rather than direct checkout actions: "I tell an agent, 'Buy me a pair of shoes or this gift for my wife within this price range at this merchant.'" Capturing those instructions and preserving them as transaction context becomes critical to validating consent later

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. The transition is less revolutionary than many assume—underlying payment rails, tokenization systems and orchestration layers largely remain intact. The difference lies upstream, where autonomous agents, not humans, initiate transactions. Rather than constructing parallel systems for AI commerce, acquirers need to adapt existing fraud, authorization and dispute infrastructure to recognize machine-initiated behavior patterns alongside human ones. The emphasis on traceability reflects broader concerns across financial services as autonomous commerce systems introduce new ambiguity into liability chains that historically centered on identifiable human action.🟡 familiarity with the problem, the image "ar-140652" which shows a person building with bricks and the "PYMNTS TV" logo, is highly relevant. It visually represents the concept of building new systems or infrastructure within the context of payments and potentially highlights the source of some of the information. The tone of the image is constructive and forward-looking, aligning with the idea of addressing challenges in agentic commerce. The second image, "ar-140651," is a headshot of the article's author, Monica Eaton. While it provides context about the author, it doesn't directly illustrate the concepts of AI agents, chargebacks, or infrastructure gaps in the same way the first image does. Since the instructions prioritize images that add value and clarity to the content, and the first image strongly reflects a key theme of building new infrastructure, I will select "ar-140652".

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