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Analog Devices' quarterly forecast tops estimates on AI-fueled chip demand
Aug 19 (Reuters) - Analog Devices (ADI.O), opens new tab forecast fourth-quarter revenue and profit above Wall Street estimates on Wednesday, betting on continued demand for its power-management chips used across data centers and industrial applications as AI investments ramp up. The company
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Analog Devices Q3 2026 earnings beat on AI data center demand
The company generated operating cash flow of $5.5 billion and free cash flow of $4.9 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis. It returned $1.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter. The board also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.10 per share,
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Analog Devices earnings analysis: questions answered and next catalysts By Investing.com
Investing.com -- Analog Devices just delivered its first-ever $4 billion quarter -- fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $4.02B crushed estimates by $110M, while EPS of $3.45 beat by $0.11. Q4 guidance of $4.2-4.4B revenue and $3.71-$4.01 EPS towers above the $3.55 EPS consensus, signaling the AI
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Analog Devices 3Q Profit, Revenue Up on Surging AI Data Center Demand
Analog Devices reported higher profit and revenue in its third quarter and delivered an upbeat outlook for the fourth, driven by accelerating demand for data center hardware and industrial chips. For the three months ended Aug. 1, the semiconductor company on Wednesday posted a rise in net income
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Analog Devices delivered its first-ever $4 billion quarter with Q3 2026 revenue of $4.02 billion, crushing estimates by $110 million as AI infrastructure buildout accelerates. The semiconductor company's quarterly earnings of $3.45 per share beat forecasts, while Q4 guidance signals continued momentum in AI-fueled chip demand for data centers and industrial applications.
Analog Devices reported its first-ever $4 billion quarter on August 19, 2026, with fiscal Q3 revenue reaching $4.02 billion—$110 million above Wall Street estimates
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. Revenue surged 40% year-over-year and 11% sequentially, driven by accelerating AI data center demand and robust industrial applications growth3
. Adjusted earnings per share hit $3.45, beating analyst expectations of $3.344
. The semiconductor company's stock, trading at $376.34, has rallied roughly 54% over the past 12 months as AI infrastructure buildout continues to accelerate3
.Net income jumped to $1.34 billion, or $2.74 per share, compared with $518.5 million a year ago
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. Gross margins held steady at 72.5% while operating margins reached 50%—performance that positions Analog Devices among the most profitable semiconductor companies3
. The company generated operating cash flow of $5.5 billion and record free cash flow of $4.9 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis, representing a 36% conversion rate that rivals software companies2
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.Data centers now represent 80% of Analog Devices' communications segment, with optical and power products growing over 100% year-over-year
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. Management expects optical circuit switching revenue to approximately double again in fiscal 2027, signaling sustained structural tailwinds rather than a temporary spike3
. The company's power-management chips regulate power and move vast amounts of data across AI-driven computing infrastructure, positioning Analog Devices as a picks-and-shovels play on AI infrastructure1
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.Chief Financial Officer Richard Puccio noted that "demand continued to strengthen across our product portfolio and regions throughout the third quarter," reflecting broad-based momentum
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. The industrial segment—Analog Devices' largest at 50% of revenue—grew 56% year-over-year and 20% sequentially, with aerospace, defense, automation, and energy transmission all contributing3
. Automotive represented 24% of Q2 revenue and grew 8% sequentially, with battery management systems for EVs surging over 50% in fiscal 20253
.Analog Devices closed its $1.5 billion all-cash acquisition of Empower Semiconductor on July 7, 2026, targeting what Empower CEO Tim Phillips described as "the hardest problem in AI power delivery—the power bottleneck that is limiting AI throughput"
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. CEO Vincent Roche emphasized that energy is "the most persistent constraint to scaling next-generation systems"2
. Empower's integrated voltage regulator technology and silicon capacitors can reduce data center power consumption by 10-15%—a critical capability as hyperscalers manage escalating energy costs3
.Revenue contribution from the Empower Semiconductor acquisition is expected to materialize meaningfully in fiscal 2027 as design-ins transition to production
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. The transaction deepens Analog Devices' position in AI infrastructure at a moment when power efficiency has emerged as a defining competitive advantage. The company returned $1.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter, and the board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.10 per share payable September 152
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Analog Devices forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $4.2 billion to $4.4 billion—with a midpoint of $4.3 billion significantly above the $4.08 billion analyst consensus
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. Adjusted earnings per share are expected at $3.86 at the midpoint of a range of $3.71 to $4.01, compared to analyst forecasts of $3.544
. Operating margin guidance points to approximately 52% at the midpoint—up from 50% in Q3—suggesting favorable product mix and pricing power3
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.Analyst estimates have been revised aggressively, with fiscal 2026 EPS consensus at $12.42—up 39% over the past year—and fiscal 2027 at $15.12 on $17.13 billion revenue
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. Goldman Sachs rates the stock Buy with a $450 target, while Cantor Fitzgerald maintains Overweight at $5503
. Notably, Analog Devices saw 24 positive EPS revisions and zero negative in the last 90 days3
.Analog Devices' blowout quarterly earnings validate the thesis that AI infrastructure buildout represents a sustained structural tailwind rather than cyclical hype. Every data center requires analog chips for power management, optical connectivity, and signal processing—making Analog Devices essential infrastructure for AI capex expansion. The company commands average selling prices 4-5 times the industry average, reflecting differentiated technology and pricing power
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. With gross margins at 72.5% and operating margins at 50%, Analog Devices demonstrates that specialized semiconductor companies can achieve software-like economics.However, valuation risks loom. At roughly 25 times forward fiscal 2027 earnings, the stock has priced in significant growth expectations
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. Any slowdown in AI capex or industrial recovery could trigger multiple compression. Watch for continued momentum in optical switching revenue, Empower integration execution, and whether hyperscalers maintain aggressive infrastructure spending through 2027. The power bottleneck that Analog Devices is solving represents a genuine constraint on AI scaling—but the market will demand consistent proof that the company can sustain 30%+ revenue growth and 50%+ operating margins.Summarized by
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