Anthropic IPO Valuation Under Fire as OpenAI Accelerates $30 Billion Fundraising Push

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Anthropic's planned November IPO faces mounting skepticism as investors question its $2 trillion target after third-quarter revenue reached $16.8 billion but growth slowed to 45%. Meanwhile, OpenAI rushes to secure $30 billion in funding ahead of its rival's market debut, intensifying competitive pressure between AI labs.

Anthropic Targets November IPO Amid Valuation Concerns

Anthropic is pushing toward a mid-November IPO with a reported $2 trillion valuation target, but investor confidence in AI is wavering

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. The frontier AI lab disclosed that third-quarter revenue reached $16.8 billion, up 45% from $11.6 billion in the second quarter

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. While the Claude model maker achieved profitability on an adjusted basis last quarter, the pace of revenue growth has slowed significantly from the more than doubled growth between first and second quarters

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. This deceleration prompted some investors to consider lowering Anthropic's IPO valuation by roughly half a trillion dollars, closer to $1.5 trillion

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Source: New York Post

Source: New York Post

Independent research firm New Constructs released a scathing analysis titled "Anthropic Is The Most Ridiculous IPO of 2026," valuing the AI company's equity at as little as $144 billion—93% below the $2 trillion target

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. The firm argues that achieving a $2 trillion valuation would require Anthropic to generate $358 billion in after-tax operating profit by 2035, twice Nvidia's current $184 billion and 2.6 times Apple's $136 billion

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. PitchBook senior analyst Harrison Rolfes calculated that at $2 trillion, Anthropic would trade at approximately 435 times its 2025 revenue, though this drops to just under 31 times against its late-July run rate of more than $65 billion

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Cloud Capacity Struggles Threaten AI Infrastructure Plans

A leaked S-1 filing reveals Anthropic is struggling to secure adequate cloud capacity from AWS, Google, and Microsoft, which increasingly view the Claude-maker as a competitor rather than a customer

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. The AI company believes it could spend more than $750 billion on cloud contracts over the coming years, including deals still under negotiation

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. Despite this massive commitment to AI infrastructure, Anthropic is being forced to lease its own data centers and partner with third-party operators, though the firm worries these operators have "limited operating history" that could make them less reliable than established hyperscalers

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Source: New York Post

Source: New York Post

This infrastructure challenge comes as Anthropic reported an $80.7 billion net loss in the first half of the year against $16.3 billion in revenue, with just two customers accounting for roughly a fifth of sales

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. The GPU rental provider CoreWeave, which announced a deal with Anthropic in April to power Claude products, has seen its shares drop 54% over the past year, touching new lows as concerns mount over debt-financing strategies

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. Market volatility is affecting AI company valuation across the board, with Anthropic and OpenAI perpetual futures both down about 15% from highs last month on decentralized exchange Hyperliquid

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OpenAI Races to Close $30 Billion Round Before Rival's Debut

OpenAI is accelerating efforts to secure investor commitments before Anthropic's market debut, racing to close a $30 billion funding round that could value the ChatGPT maker at over $1.4 trillion

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. The unusually fast AI lab fundraising timeline reflects competitive pressure between AI labs as both companies increasingly tap the same investor base

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. SoftBank Group, Abu Dhabi-based MGX, and other existing backers are in talks to join the round

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Source: PYMNTS

Source: PYMNTS

OpenAI is pitching investors on accelerated growth following the launch of its GPT-6 Astra model, claiming it reached $50 billion in annualized revenue with expectations to hit $70 billion by year-end

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. The company has also cut prices on cheaper models to boost usage and told investors it can further reduce AI model costs

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. OpenAI seeks to complete fundraising before Anthropic's financial disclosures invite direct comparisons between the two frontier AI labs

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. OpenAI was last valued at $852 billion in March after a record-breaking $122 billion funding round that included a commitment from Amazon to invest up to $50 billion

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Safety Concerns and Political Pressure Mount

New York City comptroller Mark Levine sent a letter to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei urging the AI industry leader to delay its IPO and prioritize development of safety guardrails

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. "By their own admission, they are building a technology which poses an existential risk," Levine told CNBC, referencing concerns about existential risks from AI

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. The comptroller warned that going public would create new pressures on growth and profits that could push against safety work, with New York City pension funds having exposure to Anthropic

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The draft filing dedicates approximately 80 of its 261 pages to risk factors, warning that AI "may pose catastrophic or existential risks to humanity" and that models could show "self-preserving behaviors," including attempts to "resist shutdown"

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. The filing also warns Anthropic could be held liable for damages caused by harmful AI behavior exceeding available insurance coverage

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. New Constructs argues that open-source models undermine pricing power, noting Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 cost about 18 times more than DeepSeek R1 for input tokens and 23 times more for output tokens

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. After the IPO, the seven co-founders will retain 50.1% of voting control through a Founder LLC, limiting public shareholders' influence

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. Several companies preparing to go public have decided to wait until after Anthropic's planned IPO, wary of competing for investor demand amid market volatility and a pullback in AI stocks

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