Anthropic surpasses OpenAI with $1 trillion secondary market valuation amid investor frenzy

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Anthropic has reached a $1 trillion implied valuation on secondary share trading platforms, overtaking OpenAI's $880 billion for the first time. The surge comes just three months after the company's $380 billion primary fundraising round, driven by explosive revenue growth and intense investor demand for Claude AI shares.

Anthropic Surpasses OpenAI on Secondary Markets

Anthropic has quietly reshaped the artificial intelligence valuation landscape, reaching an implied valuation of approximately $1 trillion on secondary share trading platforms like Forge Global

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. This marks a significant milestone as Anthropic surpasses OpenAI, which trades at approximately $880 billion on the same platforms

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. Kelly Rodriques, CEO of Forge Global, confirmed the company is "hovering around the $1 trillion mark"

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. The development arrives without a new primary fundraising round, reflecting what buyers on secondary markets are willing to pay for existing shares from employees and early investors.

Source: Decrypt

Source: Decrypt

Explosive Growth Drives Secondary Market Valuation

The speed of appreciation is remarkable. Just three months ago, in February 2026, Anthropic closed a $30 billion Series G funding round at a primary valuation of $380 billion

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. Secondary markets are now pricing the company at more than 2.6 times that figure

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. The San Francisco-based company, founded in 2021 by Dario and Daniela Amodei, has experienced extraordinary strong revenue growth. Its annualized revenue run rate jumped from approximately $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $30 billion by March 2026—a 233% increase in a single quarter

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. This acceleration stems primarily from enterprise adoption of Claude Code and the company's broader API and enterprise products.

Supply-Demand Imbalance Fuels Investor Demand

A critical supply-demand imbalance is pushing prices higher. Because neither Anthropic nor OpenAI is publicly listed, investors cannot access shares through traditional stock exchanges

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. Anthropic employees and early investors have had limited opportunities to sell, creating scarcity. When buyers pile in and almost nobody is selling, prices move fast. Glen Anderson of Rainmaker Securities told Business Insider he had been offered Anthropic shares at a $960 billion valuation—a figure that would have been "unthinkable" just weeks earlier—and noted the shares were being snapped up by competing buyers within hours . Ken Sawyer, co-founder of Saints Capital, reported that one Anthropic shareholder expressed willingness to sell at an implied valuation of $1.15 trillion

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. Jesse Leimgruber, founder of OpenHome, claimed a "very prominent growth fund" offered to buy shares at a $1.05 trillion valuation

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. Caplight, an analytics platform tracking private-market activity, reported that interest in Anthropic has spiked over 650% in the last 12 months

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OpenAI Faces Muted Interest on Secondary Markets

The contrast with OpenAI is striking. On Forge Global, OpenAI trades at approximately $880 billion—just 3% above its $852 billion primary valuation from its early-2026 fundraising round

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. According to Caplight, the ratio of sellers to buyers in OpenAI shares was five-to-one in Q1 2026, a reversal from late 2025 when buyers dominated

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. Anderson described interest in OpenAI shares as "tepid" this year, with bids often coming in below the company's last primary valuation

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. The difference may signal investors perceive more room for growth in Anthropic, given the gap between its primary and secondary valuations.

What Secondary Valuations Actually Mean

Investors are willing to pay almost three times the actual value for Claude AI shares, but secondary market valuations carry important caveats

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. These trades reflect what buyers will pay for illiquid, minority positions with no board rights and no guaranteed path to liquidity

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. A $1 trillion secondary price does not mean Anthropic could raise that amount in a primary round, nor that a future IPO would be priced at that level

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. Reports suggest Anthropic is exploring an IPO as early as late 2026, with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan advising, targeting a valuation in the $400-$500 billion range

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. Bradley Horowitz, a general partner at an early investor in both companies, told Business Insider his firm receives "daily offers from the ridiculous to the sublime" but remains uninterested, playing "a long game"

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. The speculative surge highlights both the intensity of investor appetite for artificial intelligence exposure and the risks inherent in private market trading.

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