Anthropic warns AI could soon create more advanced versions of itself without human help

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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Anthropic says the AI industry may move toward recursive self-improvement sooner than governments expect. The company reports that Claude-generated code now accounts for over 80% of code merged into its systems as of May 2026, up from low single digits in early 2025. Engineers now merge roughly eight times more code per day than in 2024, signaling a fundamental shift in how AI itself gets built.

Anthropic Signals Major Shift in AI Development

Anthropic outlined a stark warning in a new blog post from its research-focused Anthropic Institute: the AI industry may move toward recursive self-improvement sooner than many governments and institutions expect

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. The concept describes a future where one AI model develops the next version of itself, with AI systems independently building and enhancing themselves rather than relying on human researchers to guide every step. While researchers still oversee the process today, Anthropic said AI already handles a growing share of coding, debugging, and technical research inside the company

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Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Jack Clark, Anthropic's co-founder and head of policy, emphasized the urgency of preparing for this shift. "We've always found that the best thing to do is to socialize the concept and basically give people a sense of what's coming," Clark said

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. The company wants lawmakers in the loop on the topic before they start hearing about recursive self-improvement in earnest, as AI systems could soon become capable enough to autonomously design, build and train more capable successors on their own

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AI-Generated Code Dominates Internal Systems

Using internal metrics, Anthropic reported that Claude-generated code accounts for more than 80% of the code merged into Anthropic's systems as of May 2026. Before the launch of Claude Code in early 2025, that figure sat in the low single digits

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. This dramatic acceleration illustrates how AI could soon create more advanced versions of itself without requiring constant human intervention.

Source: Axios

Source: Axios

Engineering productivity has surged alongside these changes. Anthropic engineers now merge roughly eight times more code per day than they did in 2024. In a March 2026 internal survey of 130 research staff, respondents estimated they produced about four times as much output using Mythos Preview as when working without AI tools

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. The institute pointed to work that would likely not have been prioritized without agents, including one example where the Claude chatbot delivered more than 800 fixes that cut a category of API errors by a factor of 1,000—work that would have taken a human about four years to complete

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Frontier Models Accelerate at Unprecedented Pace

Anthropic highlighted public benchmarks showing that AI systems now complete increasingly complex assignments over longer periods without human intervention. The length of tasks that frontier models can reliably handle has doubled roughly every four months, up from an earlier trend of doubling every seven months

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. In March 2024, Claude Opus 3 could complete software tasks that take humans about four minutes. A year later, Claude Sonnet 3.7 managed tasks that took about an hour and a half. By March 2026, Claude Opus 4.6 managed 12-hour tasks

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Claude's success rate on open-ended tasks reached 76% in May 2026, up 50 percentage points in six months

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. In April 2026, Anthropic published a demonstration where Claude-powered agents were given an open problem in AI safety and left to solve it. Two human researchers recovered roughly 23% of the performance gap over about a week, while the agents recovered 97% over 800 cumulative hours using roughly $18,000 in compute

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The Feedback Loop and What Comes Next

Clark said AI progress appears to be accelerating instead of slowing down, contrary to some popular opinion

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. "The big story here is what we see are indications that AI progress is going to speed up in coming years rather than stay the same, or diminish," he told Axios

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. This creates a feedback loop in which AI systems create even more sophisticated successors, potentially driving major gains in medicine, science, and other technical fields.

However, models still lag behind humans in deciding which goals to pursue in engineering and research—a gap centered on human judgment rather than execution

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. Closing that gap would be central to any future system that could design its own successor, raising stakes for security, monitoring, and AI alignment controls. OpenAI has published its own concerns about recursive self-improvement as well, describing it in a December 2025 blog as a potentially dangerous phenomenon if researchers don't share information about it

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Source: Interesting Engineering

Source: Interesting Engineering

Anthropic said it believes a slowdown in frontier AI development would likely be beneficial to give societal structures and alignment research time to keep up with the technology's advance

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. The company plans to engage lawmakers about recursive self-improvement in the coming months

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. As Clark emphasized, "As organizations, and eventually probably as societies, we need to figure out the tools to validate and verify that the stuff being done by these AI systems is correct and is aligned with human intentions aligned with a thriving society"

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