ASML stock surges 123% as Bernstein raises price target to $2,623 on AI-driven semiconductor demand

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Bernstein raises its ASML stock price target to $2,623, implying 48% upside, as AI demand drives unprecedented expansion in advanced logic and DRAM capacity. The firm forecasts EUV revenue will grow at 30% annually, reaching €42.7 billion by 2030, more than 30% above street estimates, positioning the semiconductor stock for continued gains.

ASML Stock Price Target Gets Major Boost from Bernstein

Bernstein raises ASML stock price target to $2,623 from $1,971, maintaining an outperform rating on the semiconductor stock that has already gained 123% over the past year

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. The new target implies 48% upside from Thursday's close of $1,850, reflecting growing confidence in the company's position as AI demand accelerates across the industry

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. The investment firm increased its revenue forecasts following what analyst David Dai described as an "unprecedented AI-driven expansion in both advanced logic and DRAM capacity"

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AI-Driven Demand Fuels Advanced Semiconductor Equipment Growth

The upgrade centers on ASML's dominance in high numerical aperture extreme ultraviolet lithography, a critical manufacturing technology used to create memory solutions such as DRAM and high-bandwidth memory that power AI models

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. Bernstein raised its EUV shipment forecasts to 91 systems in 2027 from a prior estimate of 86 systems, and to 113 systems in 2028 from 87 systems previously

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. The firm now expects EUV revenue to grow at a 30% compound annual growth rate, reaching €42.7 billion by 2030, more than 30% above street estimates

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. These HNA EUV systems etch patterns onto silicon wafers, creating the foundation for microchips that serve as a critical component of AI infrastructure

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HNA EUV Lithography Technology Adoption Accelerates

Analyst David Dai noted that "High Numerical Aperture Extreme Ultraviolet [HNA EUV] will likely be adopted first in [Dynamic Random-Access Memory] than for logic due to lower cost of exposure for DRAM"

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. This positions ASML to capture growing demand from memory manufacturers supplying AI infrastructure. Bernstein also revised its DUV estimates upward, expecting DUV revenue to reach €20 billion in 2030 from €13 billion in 2026

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. The firm's 2028 earnings per share estimate of €67 stands 35% above consensus, while it expects ASML revenue to reach €80 billion by 2030, representing a 20% compound annual growth rate

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Market Consensus Supports Bullish Outlook

Bernstein raised its target price-to-earnings multiple to 40 times from 35 times, noting ASML trades at trough valuation versus peers despite its current P/E ratio of 63.3

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. The bullish call aligns with broader street sentiment, as all 19 analysts covering ASML maintain a buy or strong buy rating on the stock

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. Shares advanced 3% in premarket trading Monday following the target increase, as investors digest the implications of accelerating lithography demand across AI applications

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. With earnings per share projected to reach €97 by 2030 at a 31% compound annual growth rate, ASML appears positioned to benefit from sustained AI-driven demand for advanced semiconductor equipment over the coming years

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