SoftBank seeks $10 billion margin loan backed by OpenAI shares as AI bet intensifies

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SoftBank is pursuing a $10 billion margin loan secured by its OpenAI stake, marking another aggressive move in its AI expansion strategy. The two-year loan comes despite S&P downgrading the Japanese conglomerate's credit outlook to negative, citing concerns over liquidity and asset quality from its massive OpenAI investments.

SoftBank Pursues $10 Billion Margin Loan Using OpenAI Shares as Collateral

SoftBank is seeking a $10 billion margin loan secured by its shares in OpenAI, intensifying the Japanese conglomerate's debt-fueled push into artificial intelligence

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. The two-year facility would allow SoftBank to extend the borrowing by an additional year, with discussions including a potential initial interest margin of about 425 basis points over the Secured Overnight Financing Rate—translating to approximately 7.88% at current SOFR levels

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. This arrangement enables the company to unlock liquidity without selling its OpenAI stake, preserving its exposure to what founder Masayoshi Son views as a cornerstone AI investment

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Source: Analytics Insight

Source: Analytics Insight

Escalating Debt Levels Fuel Expansion into the AI Sector

The proposed margin loan represents the latest chapter in SoftBank's increasingly aggressive bet on artificial intelligence. The company recently committed an additional $30 billion to ChatGPT maker OpenAI through its Vision Fund 2, representing a 13% ownership interest in the company

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. This followed a $40 billion bridge loan secured in March—SoftBank's largest-ever lending facility solely denominated in dollars—partly earmarked for the most recent follow-on investment

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. Masayoshi Son has positioned himself as a linchpin in the global AI boom, stating that "AI is transforming the world at an unprecedented pace. OpenAI is a clear leader, with world-class technology and an unparalleled global user base"

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Credit Concerns Mount as S&P Global Ratings Issues Warning

In March, S&P Global Ratings lowered SoftBank's credit outlook to negative from stable, citing dangers that its investments in OpenAI may hurt the company's liquidity and credit quality of its assets

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. The rating agency noted that the additional AI investment would "further reduce SoftBank Group's financial capacity," adding that OpenAI is among its investments with the "weakest credit quality"

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. Following the loan announcement, credit-default swaps rose by about 10 basis points to roughly 360 basis points, nearing March's one-year high of 376 basis points

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. Despite these concerns, creditors continue providing capital to SoftBank for its OpenAI investments, though at a price—the company raised $3.6 billion last week through a multi-part bond deal that included a 10-year dollar tranche carrying an 8.5% coupon, the highest ever for the firm on such a security

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Source: Japan Times

Source: Japan Times

Financial Strategy Leverages Multiple Assets as Debt Grows

SoftBank is no stranger to margin loans as part of its financial strategy. As of November, the company had expanded a margin loan using its shares in Arm Holdings to $20 billion

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. The conglomerate also holds billions of dollars in stakes in companies including T-Mobile US, Intel Corp., and ByteDance that it could sell down to shore up its finances

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. This diversified portfolio provides potential collateral and liquidity options as SoftBank navigates its ambitious AI investment trajectory. The move underscores years in which SoftBank swung between outsized gains and heavy losses in its Vision Fund

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OpenAI IPO Speculation Adds Future Dimension to Investment

Looking ahead, OpenAI is understood to be preparing for an IPO later this year, with reports citing as early as October

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. This potential public offering could significantly impact SoftBank's financial position and validate its massive debt-fueled bet on the company. S&P noted that SoftBank's investments in AI, including OpenAI, "mostly involve fledgling startups and private companies that we believe are exposed to significant AI innovation risk and fierce competition"

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. For investors and industry watchers, the key question remains whether SoftBank's aggressive debt accumulation will pay off as AI adoption accelerates, or whether the company has overextended itself in pursuit of dominance in an increasingly competitive sector.

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