Apple CEO John Ternus confronted Wall Street in his first earnings call with a sobering forecast: gross margins will drop to 45-46% in the December quarter due to unprecedented memory pricing increases and Siri AI ramp-up costs. The company is grappling with global memory chip shortages driven by insatiable AI demand from Nvidia and hyperscalers, forcing Apple to raise iPhone prices by $100 and absorb mounting supply chain constraints.

Apple's First Earnings Report Under John Ternus Reveals Margin Pressures

John Ternus delivered his debut earnings call as Apple CEO on Monday, and Wall Street's reception was decidedly cool

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. While the 51-year-old executive, who took the reins from Tim Cook on September 1, reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue including strong iPhone sales, the company's disappointing gross margin forecast sent shares down 3% in extended trading

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. CFO Kevan Parekh projected gross margins between 45% and 46% for the December quarter, trailing the 46.3% analyst estimate and marking what would be Apple's lowest margin since fiscal Q4 2023

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. The culprit: soaring memory costs and expenses tied to ramping up Siri AI.

Source: Fortune

Source: Fortune

Unprecedented Memory Pricing Increases Squeeze Tech Giant

"What we're seeing with memory pricing right now is unprecedented," Ternus told analysts, adding that the company expects memory pricing increases to continue beyond the December quarter

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. This represents the third consecutive quarterly margin decline for Apple, dropping from 50.1% in June to 47.9% in September, with the latter boosted by 1 percentage point from tariff refunds

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. The memory chip shortages stem from insatiable AI demand, with Nvidia and hyperscalers buying up RAM supplies and paying premium prices for AI servers, leaving minimal inventory for smartphone and tablet manufacturers

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. Cook had previously described the situation as a "hundred-year flood" during his final months as CEO

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Supply Chain Constraints Force Strategic Response

Apple COO Sabih Khan, making his first appearance on an earnings call since Cook held the position in 2010, acknowledged the company is seeing "less flexibility in the supply chain than normal"

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. In response, Apple has drastically increased purchase obligations by $33 billion from June to September to secure supply, though Khan declined to confirm long-term agreements with memory makers

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. The company expects supply chain constraints on iPhones and Macs during the holiday quarter, with new orders for the foldable iPhone Duo not arriving until late January

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. Apple "reluctantly" raised iPhone prices by $100 in September and increased prices across Macs, iPads, and accessories

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Siri AI Strategy Faces Investor Skepticism

The revamped AI assistant Siri remains a question mark for investors who aren't convinced Apple has found the winning formula for the AI age

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. When pressed about the roadmap for Siri AI and the industry shift toward personalized agents like Meta's Muse assistant, Ternus offered limited details, noting Siri is "primarily request-based today" though built on an architecture allowing substantial capability expansion

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. He described agentic capabilities as "promising tools" while emphasizing user privacy and security

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. Reviews have been mixed, with analysts noting the assistant lags behind leading chatbots from OpenAI and Anthropic, as well as Meta's wave of personalized agents capable of autonomous shopping and banking tasks

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Services Segment Slowdown Adds to Challenges

The $4.9 trillion company is also contending with slowing growth in its Services segment without clear answers on how to reignite momentum

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. When questioned about finding new revenue streams, Ternus and executives pointed to the company's install base surpassing 2.5 billion devices as a foundation for future monetization

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. They noted iCloud tiers historically focused on storage will evolve, and there will be usage limits on AI features not running locally

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. Despite margin pressures, analysts see a potential silver lining: Apple's ability to absorb increased costs may help it capture market share from Windows PC and Android phone makers lacking such financial cushion

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. According to IDC data cited by Ternus, Apple gained global share for both the quarter and full fiscal year, selling more Macs than any previous fiscal year

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