US-China AI Competition Intensifies as Military AI Risks Spark Global Security Concerns

Reviewed byNidhi Govil

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US and Chinese security experts propose nuclear-style safeguards for AI risks as Beijing challenges American calls to slow AI development. The escalating tensions highlight deepening US-China AI competition, with both nations preparing for bilateral talks while disagreeing on AI governance, military applications, and technology access.

US-China AI Competition Reaches Critical Juncture

US-China AI competition has entered a volatile new phase as security experts from both nations warn that AI military risks could compress decision-making windows to mere minutes in crisis scenarios

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. An AI system interfering with nuclear command networks or launching autonomous cyberattacks could force Washington or Beijing to determine whether the other government attacked before human operators fully understand what occurred. This concern emerged prominently at the Beijing Xiangshan Forum, where 2,000 military officers, diplomats, and academics from 100 countries gathered to address how unchecked AI development threatens global security

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Source: ET

Source: ET

The warnings come as Anthropic founder Dario Amodei, alongside Sam Altman and Elon Musk, called for coordinated efforts to "pace the frontier" of AI development due to uncontrollable risks

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. China's state-run newspaper China Daily immediately countered, suggesting the move was designed "to blunt China's AI advance" rather than address genuine safety concerns

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. The publication characterized the US executives' coordination as "a response to Chinese competition" aimed at winning favorable policy environments while maintaining investor enthusiasm.

Proposed Safeguards for AI Risks Mirror Nuclear Arms Control

US and Chinese security experts participating in a bilateral dialogue have proposed nuclear-style safeguards for AI risks, including red lines around nuclear systems, mandatory human control over consequential cyberattacks, and dedicated hotlines for AI incidents

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. Melanie Sisson from the Brookings Institution and Tianjiao Jiang from Fudan University published recommendations urging both governments to establish explicit prohibitions preventing AI from independently deciding to use nuclear weapons or autonomously attacking nuclear command systems.

The proposals address scenarios where autonomous systems could malfunction, exceed instructions, or be compromised, leaving attacked nations struggling to determine whether actions were accidental or deliberate. Thailand's Defence Minister Adul Boonthumjaroen emphasized at the Beijing Xiangshan Forum that "the most pressing is not who will be the most powerful, but rather, how can we build an international order"

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. Pakistan's Defense Secretary Muhammad Ali noted that AI development is "compressing the strategic timeline" while disinformation fractures public trust before governments can respond effectively

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AI Governance Approaches Diverge Between Washington and Beijing

AI governance strategies reveal fundamental differences between US and Chinese approaches to AI policy discussions. Beijing implemented controls on generative AI from the start, requiring months of regulatory approval before Chinese alternatives to ChatGPT reached the public in summer 2023

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. China's Standardization Administration, cooperating with the Cyberspace Administration, released the third edition of an "AI Safety Governance Framework" establishing guidelines for labeling AI content and developing rapid risk detection systems

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Source: Korea Times

Source: Korea Times

Meanwhile, Chinese AI companies including DeepSeek, Moonshot, MiniMax, Alibaba, and Tencent have remained notably silent on AI safety concerns raised by their US counterparts

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. Ray Von, founder and CEO of Tencent-backed OpenPie, characterized US warnings as "a little bit oversold," suggesting Chinese firms focus less on publicizing AI risks

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. Chinese companies have concentrated on AI commercialization and applications rather than developing artificial general intelligence with super-human capabilities, partly due to US restrictions on advanced semiconductors.

Technology Access and Model Distillation Fuel US-China Tensions Over AI

US-China tensions over AI have intensified around semiconductor access and allegations of technology copying through model distillation. Since 2022, Washington has imposed sweeping restrictions blocking Chinese access to advanced Nvidia chips and chipmaking equipment

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. The US government accused six Chinese companies in September of maliciously copying American AI products through distillation—training smaller models using output from larger, expensive ones—"likely with Chinese government awareness"

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Source: Tom's Hardware

Source: Tom's Hardware

Despite these restrictions, Chinese models like DeepSeek and Kimi K3 have demonstrated competitive performance at significantly lower costs, prompting many users to shift demand toward cheaper tokens over expensive frontier models

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. China Daily cited these successes as evidence that US efforts to block Beijing's AI advancement through hardware and software restrictions have failed

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. The US has been considering additional restrictions preventing Chinese companies from remotely accessing data centers in other countries to limit their access to advanced chips.

International Consensus on Human Control Faces Implementation Challenges

Building international consensus on AI safety faces significant obstacles despite some areas of convergence. President Biden and President Xi endorsed the principle in November 2024 that humans should retain control over decisions to use nuclear weapons

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. However, experts question whether both countries interpret "meaningful human control" identically or use identical language to justify different levels of machine autonomy

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The proposed dedicated US-China military hotline for AI incidents aims to prevent automated cyber exchanges from escalating before human intervention

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. Yet experts including Carla Freeman from Johns Hopkins questioned the utility of existing crisis communication channels, citing Chinese officials' refusal to answer US calls during the February 2023 "spy balloon incident"

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. China's rigid top-down bureaucracy disempowers low-ranking officers from taking initiative during engagements with US counterparts, potentially delaying critical communications when autonomous drones or AI systems behave unexpectedly.

Geopolitical Stakes Rise as AI Transforms Military Capabilities

The geopolitical stakes of AI military risks continue escalating as both nations integrate AI more deeply into defense systems. China's State Security Minister Chen Yixin wrote that AI "fundamentally transforms the form of military struggle," noting it has moved from supporting to playing a key role on the battlefield

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. The International Committee of the Red Cross warned that as weapon systems become increasingly autonomous, preserving human judgment over the use of force becomes more pressing

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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced plans to meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng to discuss AI-related issues before the leaders' summit, with AI rivalry expected to dominate the Trump-Xi talks scheduled for September 24

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. China Daily argued that "treating the AI race as a zero-sum game makes the cooperation needed to manage those risks more difficult," calling for practical engagement through planned AI safety dialogues

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. Whether Washington and Beijing can move beyond competing narratives to establish functional arms control-style frameworks for AI remains uncertain as both nations view AI supremacy as critical to economic and military competitiveness.

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