Chip stocks crash despite Samsung's profit surge as AI demand expectations reset valuations

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Major semiconductor stocks plunged even after Samsung reported a 1,800% profit jump, signaling investor expectations for AI demand have reached unsustainable levels. Micron and Intel fell up to 8% as concerns mount over whether the AI-driven rally has overextended valuations across the chip sector.

Samsung's Record Profit Fails to Satisfy Sky-High AI Demand Expectations

Semiconductor stocks experienced a sharp selloff on Tuesday despite Samsung Electronics reporting extraordinary quarterly results that exceeded both Nvidia and Apple's earnings

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. The South Korean electronics giant forecast an 1,800% jump in operating profit, yet its shares still dropped 8% in what analysts are calling a recalibration of investor expectations for AI demand

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. The market reaction underscores a growing pattern where even exceptional performance fails to meet the lofty benchmarks set during the AI revolution, a phenomenon previously seen with Nvidia, CrowdStrike, and Palo Alto Networks

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The broader impact rippled across global markets as South Korea's Kospi fell about 5%, while SK Hynix, preparing for its Nasdaq listing this Friday with plans to raise $28 billion in the second-largest sale after SpaceX, dropped approximately 7%

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. Circuit breakers were triggered during the session as volatility in AI-linked stocks intensified, with the Kospi falling as much as 8.2% intraday

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Chip Stocks Face Mounting Pressure Amid Valuation Concerns

U.S. semiconductor stocks bore the brunt of the selloff, with Micron Technology falling more than 7% and Intel crashing nearly 8%

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. The PHLX chip index declined as memory stocks led losses, while the S&P 500 lost 34.07 points, or 0.45%, to end at 7,503.36 points

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. The Nasdaq Composite lost 310.06 points, or 1.19%, to 25,811.10

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Zachary Hill, head of portfolio management at Horizon Investments, explained the market sentiment: "The story of today is the story of the last few weeks, and that's rotation after the blistering run in the AI buildout, semis and memory. Expectations have gotten to be almost impossible to beat for these companies"

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. This volatility in AI-linked stocks reflects investor concerns over whether stock valuations have outpaced the actual pace of AI infrastructure growth.

Source: ET

Source: ET

DeepSeek Development Adds Pressure on Nvidia and Hardware Suppliers

Adding to investor concerns, Reuters reported that Chinese startup DeepSeek is developing its own AI chip for inference tasks, potentially reducing its reliance on Nvidia and Huawei chips

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. While the project remains at an early stage, it reflects a broader push by Chinese AI companies to build their own hardware amid U.S. export controls

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. This development raises questions about whether large AI companies and startups will shift toward custom chips, potentially fragmenting the AI hardware market and changing demand outlooks for established suppliers

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Nvidia fell 1.5% in premarket trading following the DeepSeek news, while memory chipmakers drove additional losses with Western Digital down 6.3% and Sandisk losing 4.6%

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. Marvell Technology also declined 4.5% amid sector-wide weakness

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Analysts Maintain Bullish Outlook Despite Recent Volatility

Despite the turbulence, Bank of America analysts characterized the recent slump as "a healthy reset, not a structural change in AI demand," suggesting that periods of consolidation in the tech sector are "often followed by renewed momentum as investors regain confidence in the next leg of earnings and capex growth"

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. The analysts expect cloud and AI spending to reach $1.5 trillion next year, up about 40% to 50% year-over-year, with spending spread among multiple sectors including memory, chips, and networking hardware

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The AI trade showed resilience earlier in the week, with chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices leading S&P gainers with an 8% rise on Monday

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. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose more than 3% while the Roundhill Memory ETF surged 8%, demonstrating the sector's continued appeal despite recent setbacks

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Market Sentiment Shifts as Investors Reassess AI-Driven Market Rally

The selloff marks the latest bout of volatility among memory chipmakers and other AI-related stocks as investors worry that sharp gains related to the buildout of AI data centers may have left shares too pricey . Samsung's stock had already more than doubled this year before Tuesday's fall, leaving little room for even a strong earnings surprise

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Market sentiment now hinges on whether investor expectations for AI remain sustainable. The upcoming SK Hynix Nasdaq listing represents another test of appetite for chip stocks, particularly as the company seeks to raise capital in what would be the second-largest offering after SpaceX

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. Investors are becoming more selective even for companies tied to AI infrastructure, questioning how quickly AI spending will translate into profits across the broader AI ecosystem

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. The shift suggests that beating earnings may no longer be enough—companies must now exceed expectations that have reached what some analysts describe as nearly impossible levels.

Source: ET

Source: ET

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