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Tesla's Cybercab goes into production -- so why is Musk tapping the brakes?
Tesla's Cybercab is now in production at the company's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas, but Elon Musk is sounding unusually cautious about the rollout. The robotaxi's start of production was announced Thursday on X, with Tesla posting a video shot from inside a steering wheel-less Cybercab as it drove out of the factory with the caption, "Purpose built for autonomy." The company made a few initial Cybercabs back in February, but continuous production only started this month. But with the company's robotaxi plans creeping along much slower than expected, many Tesla watchers are left scratching their heads about the future -- especially as Musk reins in his bombastic tone. In an earnings call this week, Musk sounded uncharacteristically pessimistic about Tesla's robotaxi expansion plans. And he offered no new details about the company's recent expansion to Dallas and Houston. (Each city only has two vehicles a week after the launch.) "The limiting factor for expansion is really rigorous validation, making sure things are completely safe," he said in response to questions about the slower-than-expected rollout. "We don't want to have a single accidental injury with the expansion of Robotaxi, and we have, to the credit of the team, not had a single one to date." But we don't know if that's exactly true. Tesla has reported 14 crash incidents involving its robotaxis to the federal government since the service launched in Austin, Texas, a year ago. And unlike other robotaxi operators that provide details about the nature of each crash and any injuries that occurred, Tesla routinely redacts that information. Still, it was weird to hear Musk sound so downbeat about Tesla's robotaxi experiment. In the past, the billionaire CEO could barely contain himself when talking about the company's autonomous future, consistently promising that unsupervised Full Self-Driving, in which the driver would be able to let the car drive for them without any interventions, was just around the corner. His supporters point to the success of Autopilot, and then FSD (Supervised), as evidence that while his promises may not exactly line up with reality, he is still at the forefront of a societal shift from human-powered vehicles to ones piloted by AI. He's even making an army of worker bots to prove the point that the technology is formally agnostic. But there have been hundreds of crashes involving Tesla vehicles using FSD and Autopilot, and dozens of deaths. Multiple government agencies have investigated the company's claims around self-driving, and FSD appears to be on the cusp of a major recall. So perhaps knowing all this, Musk decided to rein in the overpromises and sound a bit more realistic about what's to come. He acknowledged that the Cybercab's production would be slow going until the end of the year. "Whenever you have a new product with a completely new supply chain, new everything, it's always a stretched-out S curve, so you should expect that initial production of Cybercab and Semi will be very slow, but then ramping up, and going exponential towards the end of the year and certainly next year," he said. "In fact, we'll be ramping up production of all vehicles, in all factories, to the best of our ability through the balance of this year." Last year, Musk said that by the end of 2025, 50 percent of the US population would have access to Tesla's Robotaxi service, describing the expansion has "hyper exponential." But as of today, the company is operating in only a handful of cities, including Austin, Dallas, and Houston. The company is also running a human-driven ridehail service in San Francisco, where access is "invite only." With the Cybercab, another issue is the lack of traditional controls, like a steering wheel, pedals, mirrors, and other features that are required under Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards. The government provides exemptions to companies that want to produce vehicles without these features, but caps the number of vehicles at 2,500 per company. Legislation to lift the cap, and allow more purpose-built autonomous vehicles to be manufactured, has been stalled in Congress for years. But when asked on X whether the Tesla Cybercab's production would be subject to the cap, vice president of Vehicle Engineering Lars Morvay responded "No." The company is apparently self-certifying that its vehicles comply with existing safety standards, similar to how Amazon's Zoox approached the issue with its purpose-built autonomous shuttles. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, under President Biden, launched an investigation into Zoox's self-certification claim, but that investigation was closed after President Trump took office. Tesla's Cybercab is designed to operate without any human intervention -- after all, there's no steering wheel or pedals for a human to use. But Tesla has yet to solve full autonomy. Musk keeps pushing the deadline for unsupervised FSD, especially to customer vehicles that the company no longer owns. And when asked to predict the rollout of unsupervised driving, Musk has consistently offered timelines that have later proven to be wrong. In the earnings call, Musk waffled between caution and overpromising. He said that Version 15 of FSD, "a complete overhaul of the software architecture," was coming by the end of this year or early next. But he also acknowledged that millions of Tesla vehicles with Hardware 3 computers, which were sold between 2019 and 2023, would not be able to achieve unsupervised driving without serious retrofits -- contradicting past commitments. "I think probably unsupervised FSD or Robotaxi revenue will not be super material this year, but I do think it'll be material probably in a significant way next year," Musk added.
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Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi has entered production, Elon Musk says
Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla has "started production" of its self-driving Cybercab - a long-promised project that the billionaire has billed as key to the company's long-term turnaround. Splashy promotional videos that Musk and Tesla shared Thursday on X showed the robotaxi, which doesn't have a steering wheel or pedals, drive itself off the factory floor at the company's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas. "Purpose-built for autonomy," Tesla captioned the video. "Cybercab in production now at Giga Texas." Another video posted by Tesla showed several Cybercabs "in formation" as they took an off-ramp on a highway. Shares of Tesla were flat in Friday trading. The stock is down about 14% since the start of the year. Musk has placed a major bet on transforming Tesla, which has struggled with sagging sales of its electric cars, into a broader tech firm focused on artificial intelligence and robotics. Aside from its self-driving cabs, Musk has touted plans to build huge numbers of the humanoid robot called Optimus in the future. During the company's first-quarter earnings call, Musk warned investors that Tesla would report "significant increase in capital expenditures" in the future as it ramps up production and investment in its futuristic projects. Tesla launched its first robotaxi operations last year in Austin and expects to expand to new markets like Phoenix, Miami and Las Vegas in the first half of this year, according to Musk. A larger rollout will likely depend on how US regulators respond to the self-driving vehicles. In 2024, Musk said he envisioned producing 2 million Cybercabs per year when Tesla reached peak production, but initial production is believed to be on a much smaller scale. The exact number has not been disclosed.
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Tesla has begun production of its steering wheel-less Cybercab at its Austin Gigafactory, marking a shift toward AI and robotics. But Elon Musk is striking an unusually cautious tone, citing rigorous safety validation as the limiting factor for expansion. With only a handful of cities served and 14 crash incidents already reported, the robotaxi's future faces both regulatory hurdles and ambitious production targets.
Tesla confirmed Thursday that its self-driving Cybercab has entered continuous production at the company's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas. The announcement came via promotional videos posted on X showing the robotaxi—which lacks a steering wheel and pedals—driving itself off the factory floor. While Tesla made a few initial Cybercabs back in February, continuous production only started this month
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. The vehicle is described as "purpose-built for autonomy," representing Tesla's ambitious pivot from electric car manufacturer to a broader tech firm focused on AI and robotics2
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Source: The Verge
During this week's earnings call, Elon Musk sounded unusually pessimistic about Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi expansion plans, a stark departure from his typically bombastic promises. "The limiting factor for expansion is really rigorous validation, making sure things are completely safe," Musk explained when questioned about the slower-than-expected rollout. "We don't want to have a single accidental injury with the expansion of Robotaxi, and we have, to the credit of the team, not had a single one to date"
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. However, Tesla has reported 14 crash incidents involving its robotaxis to the federal government since robotaxi operations launched in Austin a year ago. Unlike other robotaxi operators, Tesla routinely redacts details about the nature of each crash and any injuries that occurred1
.Musk acknowledged that production would be slow going until the end of the year. "Whenever you have a new product with a completely new supply chain, new everything, it's always a stretched-out S curve, so you should expect that initial production of Cybercab and Semi will be very slow, but then ramping up, and going exponential towards the end of the year and certainly next year," he stated
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. This measured approach contrasts sharply with last year's prediction that 50 percent of the US population would have access to Tesla's robotaxi service by the end of 2025, which Musk described as "hyper exponential." As of today, the company operates in only a handful of cities, including Austin, Dallas, and Houston. Each new city launched with just two vehicles per week1
.The Tesla's Cybercab robotaxi faces significant regulatory hurdles due to its lack of traditional controls. Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards typically require features like a steering wheel, pedals, and mirrors. While the government provides exemptions for companies producing vehicles without these features, the cap stands at 2,500 vehicles per company. When asked whether production would be subject to this cap, Tesla's vice president of Vehicle Engineering Lars Morvay responded "No." The company is apparently self-certifying that its vehicles comply with existing safety standards, similar to how Amazon's Zoox approached the issue with its autonomous shuttles
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. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration launched an investigation into Zoox's self-certification claim under President Biden, though that investigation was closed after President Trump took office1
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Despite beginning production of a vehicle designed to operate without human intervention, Tesla has yet to solve full autonomy. The company has experienced hundreds of crashes involving Tesla vehicles using Full Self-Driving and Autopilot, resulting in dozens of deaths. Multiple government agencies have investigated the company's claims around self-driving, and FSD appears to be on the cusp of a major recall
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. Musk continues to push back deadlines for unsupervised Full Self-Driving, particularly for customer vehicles.The Cybercab represents part of Musk's larger strategy to transform Tesla into a tech firm focused on AI and robotics, particularly as the company struggles with sagging electric car sales. During the first-quarter earnings call, Musk warned investors to expect "significant increase in capital expenditures" as Tesla ramps up production and investment in futuristic projects, including the Optimus humanoid robot
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. Tesla plans autonomous expansion to new markets like Phoenix, Miami, and Las Vegas in the first half of this year. In 2024, Musk envisioned producing 2 million Cybercabs per year at peak production, though initial production is believed to be on a much smaller scale2
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