AI models fail spectacularly at sports betting as KellyBench reveals real-world prediction gap
Eight frontier AI models from Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI were tested on Premier League betting over a full season. Every single one lost money, with xAI's Grok going completely bankrupt. The KellyBench study exposes a critical gap between AI capabilities in controlled environments and real-world prediction tasks requiring long-term decision-making.