AMD forecasts revenue above expectations as AI chip demand drives data center growth to $5.8B

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AMD reported first-quarter revenue of $10.25 billion, beating Wall Street estimates of $9.89 billion, with data center revenue surging 57% to $5.8 billion. The chipmaker now projects second-quarter revenue of $11.2 billion, well above expectations, as demand for both CPUs and GPUs for AI workloads accelerates. CEO Lisa Su doubled the company's server CPU market forecast to over $120 billion by 2030.

AMD Reports Strong Q1 Results as AI Chip Demand Accelerates

AMD delivered a decisive beat on both earnings and revenue for its first quarter, reporting revenue of $10.25 billion against Wall Street expectations of $9.89 billion, representing a 38% jump from $7.44 billion a year ago

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. The company posted adjusted earnings of $1.37 per share, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.29 per share

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. Net income for the quarter reached $1.38 billion, nearly doubling from $709 million one year earlier

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. Shares jumped roughly 12% to 16% in extended trading, extending the stock's remarkable run of approximately 60% to 65% gains so far this year

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Source: Wccftech

Source: Wccftech

Data Center Revenue Surges 57% on Strong AI Workloads

The data center segment emerged as the primary driver of AMD's growth, with revenue climbing 57% to $5.8 billion in the first quarter, exceeding analyst expectations of $5.64 billion

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. This segment has become the "primary driver" of both revenue and earnings growth, according to CEO Lisa Su

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. The company benefited from strong demand for its EPYC server chips and the continued ramping of its Instinct graphics processing units

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. AMD is positioned as a leading challenger to Nvidia's dominance in AI chips, though the company has also tapped into a significant opportunity in central processing units as enterprises shift from training AI models to running applications through inference

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Source: Market Screener

Source: Market Screener

Server CPU Market Forecast Doubles to $120 Billion by 2030

In a striking revision, Lisa Su announced that AMD now expects the server CPU market to grow at greater than 35% annually, reaching over $120 billion by 2030—a dramatic increase from the 18% yearly growth rate forecast in November

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. This doubling of the total addressable market reflects the surge in agentic AI systems that automate work on behalf of humans, which run far more efficiently on CPUs than GPUs

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. Su emphasized that CPUs are essential for orchestration, inference, and broader AI infrastructure support, stating that "as AI adoption scales, you need more inferencing" and "they all require CPUs for orchestration and the data processing"

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. AMD expects server CPU revenue to grow more than 70% year-over-year in the second quarter and remains confident it can capture more than 50% of the growing server CPU market

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Source: SiliconANGLE

Source: SiliconANGLE

Major Deals with Meta Platforms and OpenAI Strengthen Position

AMD has secured significant partnerships that cement its status as a viable alternative for AI infrastructure. Earlier this year, the company agreed to sell up to $60 billion worth of artificial-intelligence chips to Meta Platforms over five years, allowing the Facebook owner to purchase as much as 10% of AMD's chip output

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. AMD also struck a deal with OpenAI last year

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. Both OpenAI and Meta have committed to purchasing AMD's upcoming Helios rack-scale system for AI data centers when it becomes available later this year, a rival to Nvidia's Grace Blackwell and Vera Rubin systems that sell for upwards of $3 million

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Strong Q2 Guidance Reflects Sustained AI Infrastructure Spending

AMD forecasts second-quarter revenue of $11.2 billion, plus or minus $300 million, significantly above Wall Street estimates of $10.52 billion

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. The company expects adjusted gross margins of approximately 56% for the second quarter, compared with analyst expectations of 55.4%

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. Su expressed "strong and increasing confidence" in the company's ability to generate "tens of billions of dollars" in data center segment sales next year and hopes to "exceed our long-term growth target of greater than 80% in the coming years"

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. Jake Behan, head of capital markets at Direxion, noted that "AMD is levered to insatiable AI compute demand, and this quarter showed that demand is real, but the focus now shifts to how efficiently they can convert that into high-margin revenue"

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Competition Intensifies as Intel Ramps Manufacturing

While analysts view AMD as best-positioned to benefit from surging AI chip demand due to market share gains and product roadmap, competition from Intel has increased after the rival chipmaker delivered a strong revenue forecast last month

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. After struggling with chip production for several quarters, Intel is now ramping up its in-house manufacturing efforts to cater to growing demand, posing a threat to AMD, which relies on tight manufacturing capacity at Taiwan's TSMC

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. Unlike Intel, which designs and manufactures chips in-house, AMD outsources its manufacturing to contract chipmakers like TSMC

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. Intel shares rose 4.5% in extended trading following AMD's results

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. Last week, AMD's stock jumped when the company announced a partnership with Intel to develop a new instruction set for x86 CPUs featuring AI Compute Extensions, which aims to increase performance and energy efficiency by boosting compute density by 16 times

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Memory Chip Shortage Poses Challenges for Consumer Segments

The semiconductor industry is grappling with a global memory chip shortage stemming from a rush to secure supply of high-bandwidth memory used in data centers alongside GPUs and CPUs

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. The sharp increase in memory prices is expected to impact demand for consumer electronics as pricier computers may turn consumers away

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. AMD's Client and Gaming segment, which includes consumer hardware, rose 23% to $3.6 billion compared with a year ago

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. However, executives indicated AMD is planning for second-half PC shipments to be lower due to higher memory and component costs, and expects second-half gaming revenue to decline more than 20% compared with the first half

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. Supply chain challenges due to the war in Iran have further complicated the situation

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. Despite these headwinds, AMD stock has far outperformed Nvidia's year-to-date gain of 5% to 6% and the broader Philadelphia Semiconductor Index's rise of 48% to 55%

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