India data centre infrastructure set for 700,000 GPU deployment as AI adoption accelerates

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Rising AI adoption could drive deployment of 650,000-700,000 GPUs in India's data centres over the next five years, creating a $23 billion investment opportunity, according to Avendus Capital. The report highlights that AI-led infrastructure demand alongside cloud and digital adoption is expected to nearly triple India's built data centre capacity from 1.6 GW in 2025 to 5 GW by 2030.

India Data Centre Capacity Set to Triple by 2030

India's data centre infrastructure is entering a phase of accelerated expansion, driven primarily by AI adoption and sustained cloud services demand. According to Avendus Capital's third annual Data Centres report released on Wednesday, the country's data center capacity growth is projected at a 26% CAGR over the next five years

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. This trajectory is expected to nearly triple India's built data centre capacity from 1.6 GW in 2025 to approximately 5 GW by 2030

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Source: DT

Source: DT

The investment bank's analysis reveals that AI-led infrastructure demand alongside rising cloud and digital adoption will require developers to maintain an active pipeline of over 3 GW capacity. This includes roughly 1 GW dedicated specifically to AI data centre capacity, necessitating total capital investment of nearly $25 billion over the next five years

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GPU Deployment Creates $23 Billion Opportunity

The report identifies GPU deployment as a particularly compelling segment within India's evolving data centre ecosystem. Rising AI adoption could drive deployment of 650,000 to 700,000 GPUs in India's data centres over the next five years, creating a $23 billion investment opportunity

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. At current capex and pricing levels, large-scale GPU deployments can deliver equity IRRs of over 28% on a hold-to-maturity basis, making GPU infrastructure a high-return generating segment

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Vaibhav Garg, director of infrastructure and real assets investment banking at Avendus Capital and chief author of the report, noted that "AI adoption is emerging as a significant catalyst for next-generation infrastructure investments in data centers, alongwith sustained demand from cloud and digital workloads." This dual demand trajectory has already generated $5 billion in transaction activity over the last three years, backed by global institutional investors, infrastructure funds, and strategic operators

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Mumbai Remains Dominant Hub as AI Market Expands

Geographically, the Mumbai data center hub is expected to maintain its leadership position, contributing nearly half of India's installed and upcoming capacity over the next five years

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. This concentration reflects the city's strategic advantages in connectivity, power availability, and proximity to enterprise customers.

The broader context for this infrastructure expansion is India's rapidly growing AI market, projected to surge from $13 billion in 2025 to $131 billion by 2032 at a 39% CAGR. This growth is supported by rising enterprise adoption and investment in data centres focused on domestic AI capabilities, including development of indigenous large language models. The IndiaAI Mission has already committed over 38,000 GPUs, creating substantial demand for high-density, liquid-cooled, AI-ready data centre capacity across India

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Investment Activity and Future Funding Mechanisms

The report highlights rising private market activity in the sector, with global data centre transactions currently valued at EBITDA multiples of 20x-30x. Looking ahead, Garg expects public markets and strategic transactions to play a key role in funding India's data centre growth, with three to four IPOs anticipated in the next three years

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REITs and InvITs are increasingly being explored as capital recycling structures for investment in data centres, given the sector's long-term contracts and stable cash flow profile. These investment vehicles pool money from multiple investors to invest in income-generating real estate and infrastructure assets, offering a pathway for institutional capital to access this growing sector. The combination of strong returns, government support through initiatives like the IndiaAI Mission, and sustained demand from both AI and digital technologies positions India's data centre infrastructure for sustained expansion through the end of the decade.

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