AI companies pour over $200 million into midterms to shape federal AI regulation

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AI executives are betting big on the 2026 midterms, with PACs spending at least $44 million so far on 40 candidates. Leading the Future and Public First Action have raised over $200 million combined, pushing for a single national AI regulatory framework to preempt state-by-state laws. The strategy mirrors crypto's successful 2024 playbook but raises concerns about corporate influence.

AI Companies Deploy Massive Political Spending to Shape Regulation

AI companies are making an aggressive push into electoral politics, deploying what could become one of the most significant corporate influence campaigns in recent memory. As of the end of June, the two largest AI PACs have spent at least $44 million across 40 House and Senate races, according to a CNBC analysis of Federal Election Commission data

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. This represents just an early fraction of the more than $200 million these groups have raised for the midterm elections cycle

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The political spending positions AI companies as increasingly powerful players in Washington's influence space, setting themselves up to shape how the first national AI legislation takes form. Brad Carson, who heads Public First Action, a nonprofit organization with several PACs, told CNBC that he's seen more bills introduced and discussion around AI regulation, especially as concerns about the capabilities and risks of powerful AI models like Mythos and Claude Fable have come into the spotlight

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. "They have a lot of benefits. They have a lot of dangers. And you can't just release them into the wild with no government concern," Carson said, noting bipartisan recognition of the need for oversight

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Source: The Next Web

Source: The Next Web

Leading the Future and Public First Action Drive Campaign Strategy

Leading the Future has emerged as the flagship vehicle for AI industry political spending, having spent more than $24 million on primary races through the end of June

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. The group raised $125 million by the end of 2025 from prominent donors including private equity firm Andreessen Horowitz, OpenAI co-founder Greg Brockman, Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale, SV Angel founder Ron Conway, and AI software company Perplexity

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. Andreessen Horowitz co-founders Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz reportedly gave $25 million each

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Public First Action, which launched last year, has spent $20 million so far and announced it had raised $80 million through the end of June

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. The group received $20 million from Anthropic, though the amount is restricted to policy education on AI policy and not for political purposes

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. Carson said the group has received donations from employees of OpenAI, Google, DeepMind, and X, though it doesn't disclose its donors publicly

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. A newer pro-deregulation group, Innovation Council Action, has pledged around $100 million, with reported donors spanning crypto and AI money, from the Winklevoss twins to Elon Musk's xAI orbit

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Single National AI Regulatory Framework Emerges as Central Demand

The central demand driving this political spending is remarkably consistent across AI PACs: a single national AI regulatory framework that would preempt state-by-state regulation

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. The industry argues that 50 different regulatory regimes would slow development and hand a competitive edge to China. Josh Vlasto, co-leader of Leading the Future, emphasized the urgency: "It is so important that we do this now and urgently, because it is still the early innings of the technology, but it is being adopted quickly, at scale"

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The timing of this spending surge is strategic. Washington attempted and failed to freeze state-level AI bills, with the Senate stripping a federal preemption provision by 99 votes to 1 before a bill was signed

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. Having lost that fight in Congress, the industry is taking the battle to the ballot box. States, meanwhile, are moving in the opposite direction, introducing well over a thousand AI bills in 2025 alone

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. This gap between a stalled federal approach and busy statehouse activity is precisely what the money aims to close.

Crypto Industry Playbook Provides Blueprint for Success

The strategy AI companies are deploying isn't novel. In the 2024 elections, crypto-backed PAC Fairshake dropped an eye-popping $200 million into elections, supporting pro-crypto candidates on both sides of the aisle

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. The result proved the model's effectiveness: a major bill on stablecoins became law, and significant progress was made on a rules-of-the-road digital assets bill favored by major crypto industry companies like Coinbase and Ripple

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The AI PACs are already seeing electoral success. Of the 28 candidates Leading the Future has backed, 25 have won their primaries, two have yet to face their elections, and only one—Jesse Jackson Jr.—lost

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. The group also opposed Alex Bores, who lost the Democratic primary in New York's 12th Congressional District

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. Public First Action has backed candidates in 11 races, and with the exception of Bores, every candidate it has supported has won

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. Carson said the group plans to spend in 50-60 races by the end of the midterms

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Dark Money Concerns and Industry Divisions Surface

The massive political spending has drawn scrutiny from watchdog groups who have branded the wave as dark money and warned of corporations trying to buy favorable regulation before the technology is fully understood

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. Critics see something more troubling than ordinary lobbying, particularly given public wariness about AI evident in grassroots revolts blocking data-center projects

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The AI industry is not monolithic on AI regulation. Anthropic's $20 million contribution is restricted to policy education rather than political campaigning, and the company has argued governments should be able to block dangerous AI

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. This split matters because "pro-AI" money is not uniformly anti-rules. Microsoft's Brad Smith has separately complained the US regulates AI with no clear rules at all—a vacuum this spending would help fill on industry terms

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Supporters counter that political spending is legal, disclosed in part, and no different from other industries defending their interests

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. What the money buys, in the end, is not just advertisements but a frame: that AI rules should be national, light, and set with the industry in the room to influence AI regulation in Congress. While any legislation is unlikely to cross the finish line this year given the limited number of days lawmakers are in session, both parties have signaled AI will continue to be a priority in coming years

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