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AI capex spending fears spread to the bond market following tech jitters
Return on investment in AI capex is a key concern for fund managers, who say previously asset-lite tech firms increasingly resemble manufacturers and infrastructure companies.U.S. tech giants' push to finance a massive artificial intelligence infrastructure boom is testing bond market appetite as
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More Big Tech company debt 'would increase the macro risks associated with the AI build-out,' Goldman Sachs warns | Fortune
The increase in debt-funded capital expenditure (capex) by the big "hyperscaler" tech companies is adding to the level of risk in the AI economy, according to Goldman Sachs. Those companies -- Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle specifically -- have taken on $121 billion in debt,
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Google owner Alphabet, Meta, Oracle, Amazon are selling bonds worth nearly $90 billion. What is going on with US Tech giants?
AI capital expenditure is projected to increase to $600 billion by 2027, up from over $200 billion in 2024 and just under $400 billion in 2025, and net debt issuance is expected to reach $100 billion in 2026. Amazon, Facebook, WhatsApp owner Meta, Google-parent Alphabet, Oracle are turning
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Jitters over AI spending set to grow as U.S. tech giants flood bond market
NEW YORK -- Investors are growing uneasy that the rapid rise in public debt used to bankroll AI investments could strain the U.S. corporate bond market and eventually dampen the appeal of tech stocks, despite leverage across most major companies remaining low for now. Big tech firms are turning
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Major U.S. tech companies have issued nearly $90 billion in bonds since September to fund AI data center expansion, marking a shift from traditional cash-based financing. This surge in debt issuance is raising concerns about market capacity and the sustainability of massive AI capital expenditure plans.
Major U.S. technology companies are fundamentally altering their financing strategies, turning aggressively to bond markets to fund massive artificial intelligence infrastructure buildouts. Since September, four major hyperscalers have issued nearly $90 billion in public debt, with Google parent Alphabet selling $25 billion in bonds, Meta raising $30 billion, Oracle issuing $18 billion, and Amazon most recently adding $15 billion
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Source: BNN
This represents a dramatic departure from Silicon Valley's traditional approach of using cash reserves to fund investments. Including Meta's $27 billion private financing deal with Blue Owl Capital, hyperscaler debt issuance has surged to over $120 billion this year, compared to an average of just $28 billion over the previous five years
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.The scale of planned AI infrastructure spending is staggering. AI capital expenditure is projected to increase from over $200 billion in 2024 to nearly $400 billion in 2025, ultimately reaching $600 billion by 2027
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. Hyperscalers have quadrupled their capex spending in recent years to almost $400 billion annually, with expectations of $3 trillion over the next five years1
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Source: Fortune
Morgan Stanley estimates that U.S. hyperscalers face a $1.5 trillion AI infrastructure spending gap that cannot be met by private credit markets alone
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. This funding challenge is driving the shift toward public bond markets, as Wellington Management's Brij Khurana noted: "The market woke up to the fact that it's not going to be private credit markets that are going to fund AI, it's not going to be free cash flow. It's going to have to come from the public bond markets"4
.The surge in tech debt issuance is raising significant concerns among investors and analysts. Goldman Sachs warned that "a continued shift toward debt financing would increase the macro risks associated with the AI build-out," noting that large public hyperscalers could theoretically increase their debt by $700 billion
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Source: ET
Man Group, the world's largest publicly traded hedge fund, cautioned that a "glut" of lower quality AI names may prove "too much for markets to stomach." The firm expressed skepticism about capex rollout plans, stating they are "not as gold-plated as the shiny prospectuses might suggest"
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The debt-fueled infrastructure expansion is fundamentally changing the nature of tech companies. Carlyle's Jason Thomas highlighted a "subtle change of strategy" among hyperscalers, who have shifted from being asset-lite companies to something more closely resembling manufacturing or infrastructure companies. Approximately 70% of their cash flow is now consumed by capital spending, much of it invested in physical assets like data centers
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.This transformation raises questions about appropriate valuations, as Thomas noted: "Should these companies continue to trade at price-to-book ratios that are now on average about 11 times when they're not quite the virtual businesses they once were?"
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