OpenAI leans toward 2027 IPO as SpaceX volatility and valuation concerns reshape public listing timeline

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OpenAI is reportedly delaying its highly anticipated initial public offering until 2027, citing market volatility and SpaceX's post-IPO stumble. CEO Sam Altman refuses to accept any valuation below $1 trillion, while the company grapples with heavy spending, slowing user growth, and government scrutiny over its upcoming GPT-5.6 model release.

OpenAI IPO Delay Extends to 2027 Amid Market Turbulence

OpenAI is leaning toward postponing its initial public offering until 2027, a significant shift from earlier plans to debut in the third or fourth quarter of 2026

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. The ChatGPT maker confidentially filed its prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission earlier this month but has not held pre-IPO investor meetings to discuss potential pricing and demand, according to sources familiar with the company's plans

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. These critical meetings to test the waters with investors will likely begin once the artificial intelligence company establishes a clearer sense of timing.

Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

Sam Altman's $1 Trillion Valuation Stance Shapes IPO Strategy

CEO Sam Altman has pushed advisers to find a path for OpenAI to reach a $1 trillion valuation in public markets, up from its last private valuation of $730 million

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. When advisers presented the option of waiting until 2027 for the targeted valuation or lowering expectations for a quicker debut, Altman reportedly responded that any change to the trillion-dollar valuation was a nonstarter

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. The company closed a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation on March 31

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, making the $1 trillion target ambitious but not entirely out of reach. Such a valuation would exceed Walmart's market capitalization, representing a staggering achievement for a start-up not believed to have turned a profit

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Source: Benzinga

Source: Benzinga

SpaceX IPO Performance Triggers OpenAI Valuation Concerns

The SpaceX IPO has emerged as a critical factor in OpenAI's decision-making process. Elon Musk's space venture raised more than $85 billion in what became the largest IPO ever, reaching a valuation of $1.77 trillion on its debut

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. However, SpaceX shares have experienced significant market volatility, slumping from a peak of $202 to $153 by the end of trading on Thursday

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. This performance has caused OpenAI's advisers to caution that the company may not find much enthusiasm from retail investors for its own shares

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. The broader tech stocks have also been dragging down indexes as investors question whether AI-driven companies will deliver on their sky-high promises.

Financial Pressures and Revenue Targets Shape Public Listing Timeline

OpenAI faces acute financial pressures as it aggressively spends on new data centers and computing power. The company reported roughly $13 billion in revenue in 2025 and generates $2 billion in revenue each month

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. OpenAI hopes to triple its revenue this year and projects total revenue for 2030 to exceed $280 billion—approximately 20 times its 2025 earnings

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. The company plans to spend about $600 billion on computing capacity by 2030

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. Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar has favored a 2027 listing, pointing to the company's heavy cash burn, compute commitments, and the demands of public reporting

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Source: ET

Source: ET

Government Scrutiny Over GPT-5.6 Adds Complexity

OpenAI will roll out its next model, GPT-5.6, to a small group of partners rather than the public at the request of the Trump administration

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. Sam Altman told employees during a staff question-and-answer session that the federal government asked the company to take this staggered approach and that it was the fastest path to a broad release. The government will be approving access customer by customer during this preview period, with Altman hoping a wider rollout would follow a couple of weeks later if the preview went well

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. This arrangement mirrors how rival Anthropic handled Mythos, a model with advanced cybersecurity capabilities shared with select partners rather than released publicly

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Competitive Landscape and User Growth Challenges

After years of surging downloads of ChatGPT's consumer app, those numbers have slowed and continue to hover around 900 million users, surprising investors who believed the company would easily hit one billion

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. OpenAI faces competition from Anthropic, which offers a Claude Code tool for creating sophisticated software code and has had success selling its service to businesses

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. Google Gemini, the tech giant's flagship consumer AI product, has also become popular with users

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. The company is searching for other lines of revenue, including experimenting with placing ads inside ChatGPT and striking e-commerce deals with companies like Shopify and Stripe

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Implications for AI Sector IPOs and Investor Sentiment for Tech IPOs

The OpenAI IPO delay could have a chilling effect on other AI sector IPOs expected this year, including rival Anthropic, which also confidentially filed to go public earlier this month

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. Cerebras, which held the title of this year's largest IPO prior to SpaceX's debut, has seen its stock drop 50% from its opening price roughly one month after its May debut

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. OpenAI completed the corporate restructuring needed to go public in October, converting its for-profit arm into the public benefit corporation now known as OpenAI Group PBC

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. The company's decision to delay reflects broader concerns about investor sentiment for tech IPOs in an environment where questions persist about whether AI companies will live up to their valuations.

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