Taiwan Central Bank Chief Warns of AI Bubble Risk Amid Tech Sector Over-Leveraging

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Taiwan's central bank Governor Yang Chin-long has raised concerns about an AI bubble risk despite acknowledging real growth in the sector. Speaking at a parliamentary hearing, Yang warned that aggressive corporate borrowing and speculative capital expenditures in the tech sector could lead to over-expansion, even as Taiwan's AI-driven economy hits record highs anchored by TSMC and partnerships with Nvidia.

Taiwan Central Bank Flags AI Bubble Risk Amid Economic Boom

Governor Yang Chin-long of the Taiwan central bank issued a stark warning on Thursday about the mounting AI bubble risk, acknowledging that while the sector's growth potential remains genuine, the dangers of financial instability cannot be ignored. Speaking at a parliamentary hearing, Yang told lawmakers that the AI boom has become a major driving force in Taiwan's economy, but the central bank must carefully monitor speculative capital expenditures financed by aggressive corporate borrowing within the tech sector

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Source: GameReactor

Source: GameReactor

"We do have concerns about the possibility of an AI bubble," Yang said. "AI is driven by real growth potential, but it's the possibility of over-expansion via over-leveraging that concerns us"

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. This statement signals growing un-ease about whether the rapid expansion in AI-related investments can be sustained without triggering an AI-driven economic bubble.

Interest Rate Decision Reflects Divided Outlook

At the Taiwan central bank's quarterly meeting in June, the board decided to hold interest rates steady, determining that inflationary pressures amid the AI boom were not sufficient to justify an increase. However, the decision was not unanimous, revealing internal disagreement about the appropriate monetary policy response

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. Yang defended the choice, noting it was appropriate given the under-performance of traditional industries relative to the booming tech industry

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This split decision underscores the delicate balancing act facing policymakers. While over-leveraging in the tech sector poses risks, raising rates could stifle growth in an economy increasingly dependent on AI-related manufacturing and innovation. The economic implications extend beyond Taiwan's borders, given its central position in the global AI supply chain.

Taiwan's Critical Role in Global AI Supply Chain

Source: ET

Source: ET

Taiwan plays a crucial role in the global AI supply chain for tech giants including Nvidia and Apple, anchored by chip-maker TSMC, which has been leading Taiwanese stocks to record highs this year

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. The importance of Taiwan's chip industry is reflected by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's frequent and high-profile visits to the island, including his recent major trip for June events such as Computex and NVIDIA GTC Taipei.

TSMC, the world's biggest contract manufacturer of AI-related chips, reported last month that demand remained high with customers still upbeat on the AI outlook, even as the company monitors the impact of rising component costs

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. This optimism from industry leaders contrasts with Yang's cautionary stance, highlighting the tension between short-term growth momentum and longer-term financial stability concerns.

What Investors and Industry Watchers Should Monitor

The warning from Yang Chin-long matters because Taiwan's semiconductor industry serves as a bellwether for global AI infrastructure development. If corporate borrowing in the tech sector becomes unsustainable, the ripple effects could impact supply chains worldwide. Observers should watch for signs of excessive leverage ratios among Taiwanese tech companies, shifts in TSMC's capital expenditure guidance, and any changes in the central bank's monetary policy stance at future quarterly meetings. The divergence between traditional industries and the AI-driven tech sector also raises questions about economic resilience if demand for AI-related chips softens. As component costs continue rising and inflationary pressures evolve, the risk of an AI-driven economic bubble remains a critical concern for financial stability not just in Taiwan, but across the interconnected global technology ecosystem.

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